{ "api_version": 1, "generated": "2026-10-31T07:23:01.155Z", "licence": { "name": "CC BY 4.0", "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" }, "note": "resolved = supported + partly_supported + contradicted, on checkable claims only.", "data": { "claims": [ { "id": "cl-20261027-02kj", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-02kj", "proposition": "A fragment of a Ukrainian Tochka-U missile caused the collapse of an apartment building in Belgorod on 12 May 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-05-12) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-h6jb records the Russian defence ministry's account and the denial by Andrii Kovalenko of Ukraine's security council; the Kyiv Independent said it could not verify either. No independent evidence in the record shows what caused the collapse." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-09t6", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-09t6", "proposition": "Zelensky and Trump agreed on post-war security guarantees at Davos in January 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2027-01-23", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2027-01-23", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Zelensky's statements that US security guarantees were agreed (ev-20261027-7jmz), but Trump put them at about 95 percent and the second Abu Dhabi round on 4 February left guarantees unresolved (ev-20261027-ven8); nothing independently shows an agreement at Davos. Next check on the ladder from 2026-01-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-1gbj", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-1gbj", "proposition": "The bodies seen in Bucha appeared only after Russian forces left the town around 30 March 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "contradicted", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "contradicted", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1, 2 ], "reason": "In ev-20261027-s1gr, Maxar imagery of 19 March analysed by The New York Times and Maxar and Planet imagery verified by the Centre for Information Resilience show bodies on Yablunska Street while Russian forces held Bucha, and OHCHR documented 73 civilian killings in the town between 4 and 30 March. Events: ev-20261027-s1gr." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.the-defense-post", "url": "https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/04/04/satellite-images-bucha-ukraine/", "origin": "Maxar satellite imagery of 19 and 21 Mar 2022, analysed by The New York Times", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2022-04-04T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.centre-for-information-resilience", "url": "https://www.info-res.org/eyes-on-russia/reports/disinformation-denial-russias-attempts-to-discredit-open-source-evidence-of-bucha/", "origin": "Maxar imagery of 19 Mar and Planet imagery of 21 Mar 2022, verified by CIR", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2022-04-13T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.ohchr-hrmmu", "url": "https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2022/12/un-report-details-summary-executions-civilians-russian-troops-northern", "origin": "OHCHR thematic report on killings of civilians", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2022-12-07T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-2235", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-2235", "proposition": "Ukraine struck the Moscow Oil Refinery twice in one week in June 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-18", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-18", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-4zfq) holds Ukrainian claims of hitting the Moscow Oil Refinery and Russian officials' counts of drones downed, but no independent source confirming the refinery was hit twice in one week. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-18 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-2586", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-2586", "proposition": "More than 17,000 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in September 2023.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-09-26) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military deaths in September 2023 against which Sergei Shoigu's figure could be checked." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-25kc", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-25kc", "proposition": "There were no Ukrainian prisoners of war aboard the Il-76 that crashed in Belgorod region on 24 January 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-02-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx75 records the Russian defence ministry's claim that 65 prisoners were aboard, Ukrainian officials' denials and UN Under-Secretary-General Rosemary DiCarlo's statement that the UN could not verify the reports. No independent evidence in the record shows who was aboard." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-2fs1", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ro-government", "statement": "st-20261027-2fs1", "proposition": "The drone that hit a Galati apartment block on 29 May was Russian.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-29", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-29", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-rvw1) holds a single origin, Euronews relaying the Romanian president and NATO's secretary general; no independent examination of the drone that hit Galati is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-2k7a", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "un", "statement": "st-20261027-2k7a", "proposition": "The 16 April attack killed more than a dozen civilians, including a child, and injured first responders.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2027-01-16", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2027-01-16", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-6f2w) holds Ukrainian officials' tolls and the UN coordinator's own statement, which cannot count for the UN's claim; no independent count of the 16 April casualties is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-37rm", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "un", "statement": "st-20261027-37rm", "proposition": "The 19 November attack was the sixth large-scale attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure documented by OHCHR in under two months.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-19", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-19", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record confirms the 19 November strike on Ternopil (ev-20261027-pyty), but the count of six large-scale attacks on energy infrastructure in under two months rests on the UN's own statement, and the record holds no independent tally of such attacks. Next check on the ladder from 2025-11-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-3j8a", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-wagner", "statement": "st-20261027-3j8a", "proposition": "Ukraine was not preparing an offensive against Russian-held Donbas in February 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-23) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-n5mf records Prigozhin's statement rejecting Moscow's account of a planned Ukrainian offensive, but the record holds no evidence on Ukraine's plans in February 2022." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-3prp", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-3prp", "proposition": "A Russian Shahed-type drone hit the Chornobyl spent fuel storage facility on 7 June 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-07", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-07", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-7qag) holds Ukrainian statements on the drone type and the IAEA's note that Ukraine informed it; no independent source identifies the drone as a Russian Shahed-type. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-07 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-3z47", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-3z47", "proposition": "Russian forces killed 3,175 Ukrainian soldiers between 4 and 6 June 2023 while repelling all attacks.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-45qk carries Shoigu's figure of 3,175 Ukrainian dead only as Russia's claim, and Ukraine's deputy defence minister reported advances; the record has no independent count." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-4bkk", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "kr-government", "statement": "st-20261027-4bkk", "proposition": "At least 100 North Korean soldiers were killed in Kursk Oblast by mid-December 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-19) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-q3s7 records South Korean intelligence's figure and a separate Ukrainian intelligence figure; both are government claims, and the record holds no independent count of North Korean dead." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-57jd", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-57jd", "proposition": "Russian forces had lost about 430,740 personnel, killed and wounded together, by 17 March 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-03-17) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Russian killed and wounded to March 2024 that matches the scope of the General Staff's figure." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-5hj7", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-wagner", "statement": "st-20261027-5hj7", "proposition": "No soldier on the ground was killed during Wagner's march toward Moscow.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-26) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-2k67 records the march and reports that Wagner forces shot down aircraft and killed pilots, but carries those as compiled reports, and the record has no independent account of deaths on the ground during the march." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-5y75", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-5y75", "proposition": "Ukraine's armed forces lost almost 1,000,000 personnel (killed and wounded) between February 2022 and 16 December 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-16) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military killed and wounded to December 2024 that matches the scope of Andrei Belousov's figure." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-60yn", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-wagner", "statement": "st-20261027-60yn", "proposition": "Russia's defence ministry withheld ammunition from Wagner forces at Bakhmut in March 2023.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-03-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-tzsz and ev-20261027-fb6s carry Prigozhin's complaints of withheld ammunition only as his statements, and Ukraine's military disputed the shortage; the record has no independent evidence on deliveries to Wagner." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-62qq", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "us-government", "statement": "st-20261027-62qq", "proposition": "Russia agreed to accept security guarantees for Ukraine.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-08-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record (ev-20261027-x56y) holds only Donald Trump's own account of what Vladimir Putin agreed; the Kremlin did not confirm the reported concession, and no independent source shows Russia accepting security guarantees for Ukraine." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-6db6", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "us-government", "statement": "st-20261027-6db6", "proposition": "The 28-point peace proposal was authored by the United States.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-22", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-22", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. CBS News and AFP reporting in ev-20261027-9gtg show the United States presented the 28-point plan to Ukraine, but the record also notes it was reportedly developed after US and Kremlin envoys met, and nothing in it independently shows who wrote the text. Next check on the ladder from 2025-11-22 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-6y8a", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-6y8a", "proposition": "Ukraine was preparing to detonate a radiological dirty bomb in October 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-10-23) with nothing in the record to settle it. No event in the record covers the dirty bomb allegation or the IAEA's November 2022 inspections; the IAEA finding is cited only in the statement's text." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-73p1", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-73p1", "proposition": "Russia used at least one North Korean-made missile in the 13 December 2024 strike.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-13) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-tf46 records President Zelensky's statement only; the record holds no independent identification of a North Korean missile in the 13 December attack." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-7bmb", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-7bmb", "proposition": "Ukrainian special services organised the 8 October 2022 Crimean Bridge explosion.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-10-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-6cpe records Russia's accusation and a July 2023 statement by SBU head Vasyl Maliuk claiming responsibility, but the record carries both as party statements and holds no independent investigation of the 8 October blast." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-7vxx", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-7vxx", "proposition": "About 11,000 North Korean infantry were training in Russia in October 2024 for use against Ukraine.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-10-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kgy7 records Kyrylo Budanov's figure alongside South Korean intelligence's figure of more than 3,000 troops in Russia. Both are government statements, and the record holds no independent count of North Korean troops in training in October 2024." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-86b5", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "un", "statement": "st-20261027-86b5", "proposition": "Okhmatdyt children's hospital was most likely directly hit by a Russian Kh-101 missile.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-07-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-ac0x records the UN monitoring mission's own assessment of a likely direct Kh-101 hit and the SBU's statement on missile fragments; Russia's UN envoy disputed it. Apart from the UN's own finding and the Ukrainian security service, the record holds no independent evidence on the weapon." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-874f", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-874f", "proposition": "All Ukrainian forces have been expelled from Russia's Kursk region as of 26 April 2025.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-04-26) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx24 records Valery Gerasimov's report and a Ukrainian commander's statement to CNN that fighting continued; the only other account is an ISW assessment, which is analysis. No independent evidence in the record shows whether any Ukrainian forces remained." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-8x69", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-8x69", "proposition": "About 700,000 Russian soldiers had been killed in the war by late July 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-10-31", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-10-31", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Ukraine's figure for Russia's dead; the record holds no independent count of Russian military deaths matching its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-98m9", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "pl-government", "statement": "st-20261027-98m9", "proposition": "The drone that exploded near Osiny on 20 August 2025 was a Russian military drone.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-08-20) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record (ev-20261027-a2v2) holds a single origin: Euronews relaying Polish police, PAP and the defence minister, the claimant's own side. No independent examination of the wreckage is in the record." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-9n0b", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-9n0b", "proposition": "Ukraine had lost about 444,000 soldiers, killed and wounded, by late February 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-02-27) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military killed and wounded to February 2024 that matches the scope of Sergei Shoigu's figure." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-9wfb", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "us-government", "statement": "st-20261027-9wfb", "proposition": "Ukraine has agreed to an immediate 30-day ceasefire if Russia accepts.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "supported", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "supported", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1 ], "reason": "The US-Ukraine joint statement after the Jeddah talks, reported by the Guardian in ev-20261027-hc1j, says Ukraine was ready to enact an immediate 30-day ceasefire subject to Russian acceptance. The Guardian's own reporting in ev-20261027-a64j describes the full 30-day ceasefire Ukraine had backed and Russia did not accept. Events: ev-20261027-hc1j, ev-20261027-a64j." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.the-guardian", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/12/ukraine-ceasefire-whats-in-the-proposed-deal-and-whats-not", "origin": "US-Ukraine joint statement after Jeddah talks, 11 Mar", "role": "evidence", "published_at": "2025-03-12T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.the-guardian", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/19/russia-attacks-ukraine-hours-after-partial-ceasefire-agreed-putin-trump-call", "origin": "Guardian reporting from Kyiv and Washington", "role": "evidence", "published_at": "2025-03-19T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-9ypa", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-9ypa", "proposition": "Russian forces deliberately destroyed the Kakhovka dam on 6 June 2023.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-bcqk, NORSAR seismic data reported by NBC shows an explosion at the dam early on 6 June, but it does not show who caused it, and the record holds only the two sides' accusations on responsibility." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-a1xf", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-a1xf", "proposition": "Russia lost almost 25,000 killed and wounded in the Tavria sector between 10 October and 20 December 2023.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-12-20) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Russian killed and wounded in the Tavria sector for this period; the figure rests on the Ukrainian spokesman's word." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-b2m7", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-b2m7", "proposition": "Hand grenade fragments were found in the bodies of the Prigozhin crash victims and nothing struck the plane from outside.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-10-05) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-rr6j records the crash and that Russian investigators had not established its cause; the record holds no independent forensic findings on grenade fragments or an external impact." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-b2yb", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-b2yb", "proposition": "The Kremlin did not order the downing of Prigozhin's plane.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "checkable", "from": false, "to": true, "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)." }, { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-08-25) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-rr6j records Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov's denial and a preliminary US intelligence assessment, reported by Al Jazeera, that an intentional explosion caused the crash. No independent evidence in the record shows who caused the crash." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-bq5v", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-bq5v", "proposition": "The Moskva sank after a fire detonated ammunition on board and the ship lost stability in a storm while being towed to port.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "proposition", "from": "The Moskva sank because of an onboard fire and a storm, not because it was hit by Ukrainian missiles.", "to": "The Moskva sank after a fire detonated ammunition on board and the ship lost stability in a storm while being towed to port.", "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said." }, { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-04-14) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-zdgv records Russia's account of a fire and a storm, Ukraine's statement that two Neptune missiles hit the ship, and a US senior defence official's assessment that they did; the only non-party origin is that one US briefing, so the record does not settle the cause." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-c6ch", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-c6ch", "proposition": "Only NATO military personnel can plot flight missions for Western long-range missiles fired by Ukraine.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-09-12) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent evidence on who plans and programmes the flight missions of Western long-range missiles fired by Ukraine." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-cnpt", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-cnpt", "proposition": "Russian forces had lost about 1,581,840 personnel, killed and wounded together, by 27 October 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-03", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Ukraine's running figure for Russia's personnel losses; the record holds no independent count of Russian killed and wounded matching its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-d7ka", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "us-government", "statement": "st-20261027-d7ka", "proposition": "Putin agreed to stop striking Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities for a week from late January 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "partly_supported", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "partly_supported", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1 ], "reason": "Novaya Gazeta Europe reporting in ev-20261027-8833 shows Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed Trump's request to refrain from striking Kyiv until 1 February, and the Kyiv Independent reported President Zelensky saying the pause took effect on 30 January. The record shows a pause on Kyiv only, ending 1 February, not one covering other cities for a full week. Events: ev-20261027-8833." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.novaya-gazeta-europe", "url": "https://novayagazeta.eu/en/articles/2026/01/30/russia-to-temporarily-stop-attacking-ukrainian-energy-facilities-trump-says-en-news", "origin": "Trump remarks, 29 Jan, and Kremlin spokesman Peskov, 30 Jan", "role": "evidence", "published_at": "2026-01-30T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.kyiv-independent", "url": "https://kyivindependent.com/peace-talks-set-to-resume-in-abu-dhabi-day-after-largest-russian-strike-on-ukraine-this-winter/", "origin": "President Zelensky statement on the energy truce start date", "role": "corroboration", "published_at": "2026-02-04T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-dpj8", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-dpj8", "proposition": "Ukrainian drones struck 41 Russian military aircraft on 1 June 2025.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "partly_supported", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "partly_supported", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0 ], "reason": "Capella Space radar imagery supplied to Reuters and analysed by a James Martin Center researcher, reported by the Guardian in ev-20261027-h633, shows at least two destroyed Tu-22 bombers at Belaya after the 1 June drone attack. The figure of 41 aircraft rests on the SBU's own statement, and the Guardian noted the full extent of the damage remained unclear. Events: ev-20261027-h633." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.the-guardian", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/04/ukraine-war-briefing-satellite-pictures-show-russian-warplanes-prey-to-spiderweb", "origin": "Capella Space radar imagery supplied to Reuters, analysed by James Martin Center researcher", "role": "visual", "published_at": "2025-06-04T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-dyar", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-dyar", "proposition": "Prisoner exchanges stopped after August 2023 because Russia declined to continue them.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-11-30) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-5vck, reported by Babel, shows no exchange took place between 7 August 2023 and January 2024, and ev-20261027-ep0n records the resumption on 3 January. The record does not show which side halted the exchanges or why." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-e0hx", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-e0hx", "proposition": "The United States offered Ukraine a 15-year security guarantee as part of a peace deal.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-14", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-14", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The 15-year term rests on Zelensky's own statements (ev-20261027-7jmz); the record holds no US statement or independent report of the offer's length. Next check on the ladder from 2026-02-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-eegj", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-eegj", "proposition": "Ukraine deliberately sabotaged the Kakhovka dam on 6 June 2023.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-bcqk, NORSAR seismic data reported by NBC shows an explosion at the dam early on 6 June, but it does not show who caused it, and the record holds only the two sides' accusations on responsibility." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-f8pv", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-f8pv", "proposition": "The commander of Russia's Black Sea Fleet was killed in the 22 September 2023 strike on its headquarters.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-09-25) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-7had records the Ukrainian special operations forces claim and a Russian defence ministry video of Admiral Viktor Sokolov at a meeting the next day. Both come from the parties, and the record holds no independent confirmation either way." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-fyak", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-fyak", "proposition": "Ukrainian forces controlled 1,150 square km and 82 settlements in Kursk Oblast as of 15 August 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-08-15) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-s1vy records Oleksandr Syrskyi's figures only as his claim; the record holds no independent measure of the area or settlements held." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-gpe6", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-gpe6", "proposition": "An intercepted call shows Russian personnel blew up the Kakhovka dam.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. No event in the record carries the SBU's intercepted call, and NBC said it could not verify the recording; the record's dam event, ev-20261027-bcqk, does not establish who destroyed the dam." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-gvv3", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-gvv3", "proposition": "Ukrainian forces still held the northern part of Pokrovsk on 2 December 2025.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-02", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-02", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-zzrz) holds only the Russian announcement and the Ukrainian General Staff's reply; no independent source shows who held the northern part of Pokrovsk on 2 December 2025. Next check on the ladder from 2025-12-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-hkg3", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-hkg3", "proposition": "Bakhmut had been reduced to ruins by Russian forces by December 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-12-10) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-dead carries Zelenskyy's description of Bakhmut as burned ruins only as his statement, and ev-20261027-znr1 records Al Jazeera's reporting on the fall in Bakhmut's population but not the extent of destruction by December 2022." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-hrrs", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "us-government", "statement": "st-20261027-hrrs", "proposition": "Zelensky's approval rating is 4 per cent.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-02-19) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no event carrying an opinion poll on President Zelensky's approval in February 2025." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-hwse", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-hwse", "proposition": "Russia's 29 December 2023 strikes on Ukraine targeted only military infrastructure.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-12-30) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-b9k0 records AP reporting, UN humanitarian coordinator Denise Brown and the UN monitoring mission showing homes, schools, a maternity ward and a metro station were damaged and 90 civilians killed from 29 December. The record does not show what each strike was aimed at, and most missiles were reported shot down, so it does not settle what was targeted." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-jxn7", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-jxn7", "proposition": "The 13 March 2022 strike on Yavoriv killed up to 180 foreign fighters.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-03-13) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-8gf7 records the Yavoriv strike with the Lviv governor's toll of at least 35 killed and Russia's figure of up to 180 foreign fighters, both as party statements; the record has no independent count of who was killed." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-k7zn", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-k7zn", "proposition": "Almost 700,000 Russian troops were deployed in the war in Ukraine in June 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-06-14) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent estimate of the number of Russian troops deployed in Ukraine in June 2024." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-ke23", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-ke23", "proposition": "Some Ukrainian prisoners named by Russian sources as killed in the Il-76 crash had already been returned to Ukraine in earlier exchanges.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-01-25) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx75 records ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets's statement and the UN's inability to verify the circumstances. The record holds no independent check of the Russian list of names against earlier exchanges." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-kk58", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-kk58", "proposition": "No Russian missile struck Polish territory on 15 November 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "supported", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "supported", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1 ], "reason": "In ev-20261027-70hv, statements by Poland's foreign ministry and the US president, reported by The War Zone, and by the Polish presidential office, reported by the Kyiv Post, said the missile that hit Przewodow was most likely a Ukrainian air defence interceptor and that a launch from Russia was unlikely. Events: ev-20261027-70hv." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.the-war-zone", "url": "https://www.twz.com/missile-hits-poland-after-crossing-ukraine-border-reports", "origin": "Polish foreign ministry and US presidential statements", "role": "evidence", "published_at": "2022-11-15T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.kyiv-post", "url": "https://www.kyivpost.com/russias-war/zelensky-still-has-doubts-about-missile-that-hit-poland.html", "origin": "Polish presidential office statement and Zelenskyy remarks", "role": "evidence", "published_at": "2022-11-17T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en", "excerpt": "The self-destruct system did not work, and this missile led to a tragedy." } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-krvd", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "xx-nato", "statement": "st-20261027-krvd", "proposition": "North Korean military units were deployed to Russia's Kursk region by 28 October 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-10-28) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kgy7 records NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's statement, and ev-20261027-fx24 records Kim Jong Un and President Putin confirming the deployment in April 2025. All of these are government statements; the record holds no independent evidence placing North Korean units in Kursk by 28 October 2024." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-ks8j", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-ks8j", "proposition": "The damage to Okhmatdyt children's hospital on 8 July was caused by a Ukrainian air defence missile.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-07-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-ac0x records the UN monitoring mission's assessment that a direct Kh-101 hit was highly likely, though it said it could not be fully certain, and the SBU's account of missile fragments. A single hedged independent finding does not settle the claim either way." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-mgvs", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-mgvs", "proposition": "Russia struck Dnipro with a new Oreshnik intermediate-range missile in response to Western long-range weapons use.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-11-21) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-x4k9 records the strike on an industrial enterprise in Dnipro, and unnamed US officials, reported by ABC News Australia, said it was an experimental intermediate-range ballistic missile. That is one independent origin, short of the two the standard needs, and Russia's stated reason is not a checkable fact." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-ng5x", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-ng5x", "proposition": "Russia began a major offensive across Donbas on 18 April 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-04-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-5rcv carries only Zelensky's and the Luhansk governor's announcements that Russia had begun the battle for Donbas; the record has no independent report from April 2022 showing a large offensive began on 18 April." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-nv1f", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-nv1f", "proposition": "Ukraine launched 91 drones at Putin's Valdai residence on the night of 28 to 29 December 2025.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-29", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-29", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-yjzv) holds Sergei Lavrov's statement and President Zelensky's denial, both party sources; no independent evidence of drones aimed at the Valdai residence is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2025-12-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-nzjy", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-nzjy", "proposition": "Russian forces lost seven soldiers for every Ukrainian soldier in Bakhmut.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-03-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-3wen records Danilov's seven to one ratio and notes it could not be verified; the record has no independent count of either side's dead at Bakhmut." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-p8vr", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-p8vr", "proposition": "A total of 2,439 Ukrainian fighters surrendered at Azovstal between 16 and 20 May 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-05-20) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-4a0r holds the ICRC's statement that it began registering combatants leaving Azovstal on 17 May, which supports that fighters left and were taken prisoner, but the 2,439 total comes only from Russia's defence ministry and the record has no independent count." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-p94j", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-p94j", "proposition": "The Amstor shopping centre in Kremenchuk was not functioning when the 27 June 2022 strike caused a fire there.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-06-28) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-8e34 records the strike on the Amstor shopping centre with a UN spokesperson's condemnation and Ukrainian officials' toll, but no independent account in the record establishes whether the centre was open and trading at the time." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-pdev", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-pdev", "proposition": "Ukraine lost 160 tanks and its casualties were ten times Russia's in the first days of the June 2023 counteroffensive.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-13) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian tank losses or of either side's casualties in the first days of the June 2023 counteroffensive; Putin's figures stand only as his claim." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-q9wv", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-q9wv", "proposition": "A US-supplied Patriot air defence system was used to shoot down the Il-76 near Belgorod on 24 January 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-01-31) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx75 records President Putin's claim and the UN's statement that it could not verify the circumstances of the crash. No independent evidence in the record identifies the weapon." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-qvq1", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-qvq1", "proposition": "Russia's 10 October 2022 strikes hit Ukraine's energy, military and communications facilities.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "partly_supported", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "proposition", "from": "Russia's 10 October 2022 strikes were aimed at energy, military command and communications facilities.", "to": "Russia's 10 October 2022 strikes hit Ukraine's energy, military and communications facilities.", "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said." }, { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "partly_supported", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1 ], "reason": "In ev-20261027-qns4, the UN human rights office and a Meduza review of strike sites show the 10 October strikes hit energy and other civilian infrastructure, cutting power and water; neither shows that military or communications facilities were hit. Events: ev-20261027-qns4." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.voice-of-america", "url": "https://www.voanews.com/amp/un-russian-missile-attacks-on-ukraine-s-civilian-infrastructure-could-amount-to-war-crimes/6784962.html", "origin": "UN human rights office statement of 11 Oct 2022", "role": "evidence", "published_at": "2022-10-11T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.meduza", "url": "https://meduza.io/en/feature/2022/10/10/the-civilian-deaths-and-destruction-wrought-by-russia-s-high-precision-missile-strikes", "origin": "Meduza review of strike sites", "role": "corroboration", "published_at": "2022-10-10T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-r4xh", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-r4xh", "proposition": "Ukraine's armed forces lost more than 1,500,000 personnel between February 2022 and February 2026, including more than 520,000 in 2025.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-20", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-20", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Russia's figure for Ukraine's losses; the record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military losses matching its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-02-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-rdjb", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-rdjb", "proposition": "The Ukrainian advance into Kursk Oblast was halted by 7 August 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-08-07) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-d769 records General Valery Gerasimov's claim, which the Kyiv Independent said it could not verify. Later events, ev-20261027-1cpr and ev-20261027-s1vy, carry Russian and Ukrainian officials' accounts of further Ukrainian gains, but the record holds no independent reporting on the front line after 7 August." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-rjey", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-rjey", "proposition": "Nearly 249,000 Russian troops were reportedly killed or seriously wounded in January to August 2026.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-23", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "proposition", "from": "Nearly 249,000 Russian troops were killed or seriously wounded in January to August 2026.", "to": "Nearly 249,000 Russian troops were reportedly killed or seriously wounded in January to August 2026.", "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said." }, { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-23", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Ukraine's figure for Russia's losses; the record holds no independent count of Russian killed and seriously wounded for January to August 2026. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-rmzh", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ro-government", "statement": "st-20261027-rmzh", "proposition": "The Dniester oil pollution was caused by a Russian strike on the Novodnistrovsk hydropower plant.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-15", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-15", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-2n13) holds a single origin, Moldovan government statements reported by the Kyiv Independent, linking the Dniester oil to a Russian strike on the Novodnistrovsk plant; no second independent origin shows the cause. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-rq34", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-rq34", "proposition": "Ukraine attempted to assassinate Putin with drones on the Kremlin on 3 May 2023.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-05-03) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-yksf records the Kremlin's accusation, Ukraine's denial and the US secretary of state's statement that he could not validate the claims; the record holds no independent attribution of the drones." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-s2ay", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-s2ay", "proposition": "Ukraine's armed forces were not involved in the May 2023 raid into Belgorod oblast.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-05-23) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-2xmh records the Freedom of Russia Legion and Russian Volunteer Corps claims, Russia's accusation and Maliar's denial, all as party statements; the record has no independent evidence on any Ukrainian armed forces role." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-t3fv", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-t3fv", "proposition": "Western states were directly involved in attempts to attack Russian strategic air bases.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-02-21) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-j856 records Putin's accusation and ev-20261027-j931 Russia's account of the December 2022 drone attacks on Engels and Dyagilevo, but the record holds no evidence on any Western role in those attacks." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-tc8q", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "xx-nato", "statement": "st-20261027-tc8q", "proposition": "Russia was responsible for the drone that struck Galati.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-11-29", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-11-29", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-rvw1) holds only the statements of Romania's president and NATO's secretary general; no independent evidence on the origin of the Galati drone is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-tqex", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-tqex", "proposition": "Ukraine lost the Trypilska power plant on 11 April 2024 because it had no air defence missiles left to defend it.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-04-16) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-byag records the destruction of the Trypilska plant on Centrenergo's word and President Zelensky's explanation. The record holds no independent evidence on Ukraine's air defence stocks or why the plant was not defended." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-v2mp", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "un", "statement": "st-20261027-v2mp", "proposition": "The Black Sea Initiative carried over 32 million tonnes of food commodities from Ukrainian ports.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-07-17) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-b85n records the 32 million tonne figure only as UN Secretary-General Guterres's own statement. The record holds no separate count of the tonnage shipped under the initiative." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-vedw", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-wagner", "statement": "st-20261027-vedw", "proposition": "North Korea did not deliver weapons to the Wagner Group in 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-12-22) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-a6z3 records only the US government's statements that North Korea supplied Russia and later Wagner, and North Korea's denial; the record has no independent evidence on deliveries to Wagner." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-vfa0", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-vfa0", "proposition": "The Mariupol maternity hospital was occupied by Ukrainian fighters and empty of patients when it was struck on 9 March 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-03-10) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-t7n6, AP journalists at the scene, carried by NPR and Al Jazeera, documented wounded pregnant women being carried out of the hospital, which runs against the claim, but that is one origin; a WHO record of a 9 March Mariupol attack affecting patients (ev-20261028-xfcn) does not name the facility, so the record does not yet meet the two-origin rule." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-vx87", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-vx87", "proposition": "Ukrainian special services organised the 20 August 2022 car bombing that killed Darya Dugina.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-08-22) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kfsw holds the FSB's accusation, Ukraine's denial and a New York Times report that US intelligence believed parts of the Ukrainian government authorised the attack; that report is a single origin and does not settle who organised the bombing." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-weqw", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-weqw", "proposition": "The Crocus City Hall attackers received money and cryptocurrency from Ukraine.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-03-28) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-9s3t records the Investigative Committee statement, the Moscow Times's note that no concrete evidence was presented, and US official John Kirby's rejection. No independent evidence in the record shows the source of the attackers' funds." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-wwbd", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-wwbd", "proposition": "Ukraine played no part in the 3 May drone incident at the Kremlin.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-05-03) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-yksf records Zelenskyy's denial and the Kremlin's accusation, with no independent attribution of the 3 May drones in the record." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-wybe", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-wybe", "proposition": "Russian forces did not carry out the 8 April 2022 missile strike on Kramatorsk station.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "contradicted", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "contradicted", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1 ], "reason": "In ev-20261027-3net, Human Rights Watch and SITU Research weapon and video analysis attributed the Tochka-U cluster missile strike on Kramatorsk station to Russian forces and found no evidence for Russia's denial, and separate Bellingcat open-source analysis rebutted a central part of Russia's defence. Events: ev-20261027-3net." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.human-rights-watch", "url": "https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/02/21/ukraine-new-light-russias-rail-station-attack", "origin": "Human Rights Watch and SITU Research weapon and video analysis", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2023-02-21T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.bellingcat", "url": "https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2022/04/14/russias-kramatorsk-facts-versus-the-evidence/", "origin": "Bellingcat open-source analysis, 14 Apr 2022", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2022-04-14T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en", "excerpt": "it does appear to debunk a central argument by the Russian state in its defence" } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-xc01", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-government", "statement": "st-20261027-xc01", "proposition": "Ukraine organised the killing of General Kirillov.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-e7rb records Russia's Investigative Committee account and anonymous SBU sources telling CNN the service was behind the attack, with no official Ukrainian claim. Both origins are tied to the parties, and the record holds no independent evidence of who organised the killing." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-xek1", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-xek1", "proposition": "Pokrovsk was not encircled at the end of October 2025.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-10-31", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-10-31", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-c8vw) holds only the competing statements of Vladimir Putin and Oleksandr Syrskyi, relayed by the Kyiv Independent; no independent source shows whether Pokrovsk was encircled at the end of October 2025. Next check on the ladder from 2025-10-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-xj9n", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-xj9n", "proposition": "Russian and allied forces controlled the whole of Luhansk oblast on 3 July 2022.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-07-03) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-rk9n, Ukraine's military confirmed it withdrew from Lysychansk, which bears on the city, but the record has no independent evidence on whether all of Luhansk oblast was under Russian control on 3 July 2022." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-xjh8", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "un", "statement": "st-20261027-xjh8", "proposition": "Russian forces killed two evacuees in an FPV drone strike on a marked NGO evacuation vehicle in Donetsk Oblast.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "open", "next_check": "2026-12-20", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "next_check", "from": "2026-11-03", "to": "2026-12-20", "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no event on the drone strike on the Proliska evacuation van in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, so it neither confirms nor contradicts the claim. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-xjjt", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-xjjt", "proposition": "Ukraine's army lost about 1,000,000 dead and wounded between February 2022 and December 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military killed and wounded to December 2024 that matches the scope of Valery Gerasimov's figure." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-yqz2", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ru-mod", "statement": "st-20261027-yqz2", "proposition": "Russian soldiers' mobile phone use allowed Ukraine to locate the Makiivka quarters.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-01-04) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-8a2w carries the mobile phone explanation only as Russia's defence ministry statement; the record has no independent evidence of how the Makiivka quarters were located." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-zq8v", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-zq8v", "proposition": "The missile that killed two people in Przewodow on 15 November 2022 was Russian.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "contradicted", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "contradicted", "rule": "independent_origins", "citations": [ 0, 1 ], "reason": "In ev-20261027-70hv, Polish and US government statements, reported by The War Zone, and the Polish presidential office, reported by the Kyiv Post, said the Przewodow missile was most likely a Ukrainian air defence interceptor that failed to self-destruct, not a Russian missile. Events: ev-20261027-70hv." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "citations": [ { "source": "src.the-war-zone", "url": "https://www.twz.com/missile-hits-poland-after-crossing-ukraine-border-reports", "origin": "Polish foreign ministry and US presidential statements", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2022-11-15T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en" }, { "source": "src.kyiv-post", "url": "https://www.kyivpost.com/russias-war/zelensky-still-has-doubts-about-missile-that-hit-poland.html", "origin": "Polish presidential office statement and Zelenskyy remarks", "role": "contradiction", "published_at": "2022-11-17T00:00:00Z", "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z", "language": "en", "excerpt": "The self-destruct system did not work, and this missile led to a tragedy." } ] }, { "id": "cl-20261027-zrt1", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-government", "statement": "st-20261027-zrt1", "proposition": "Ukraine's special services had no role in the killing of Darya Dugina.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-08-22) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kfsw holds Ukraine's denial alongside a New York Times report that US intelligence believed parts of the Ukrainian government authorised the attack; that is one origin and the record does not settle Ukraine's role either way." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" }, { "id": "cl-20261027-zwyy", "type": "claim", "conflict": "russia-ukraine", "claimant": "ua-general-staff", "statement": "st-20261027-zwyy", "proposition": "Russia fired an intercontinental ballistic missile at Dnipro on 21 November 2024.", "checkable": true, "verdict": "unresolvable", "next_check": "2026-11-03", "revision": 2, "history": [ { "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z", "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30", "field": "verdict", "from": "open", "to": "unresolvable", "rule": "twelve_months", "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-11-21) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-x4k9 records the Ukrainian Air Force's description of an intercontinental ballistic missile; unnamed US officials, reported by ABC News Australia, said it was an intermediate-range missile, not an ICBM. That single independent origin does not meet the standard to settle the claim." } ], "record_state": "active", "schema_version": 1, "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z", "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z" } ], "track_record": [ { "claimant": "ru-government", "party": "ru-government", "members": [ { "id": "ru-government", "name": "Government of Russia", "claims": 19 }, { "id": "ru-mod", "name": "Ministry of Defence of Russia", "claims": 19 } ], "supported": 1, "partly_supported": 1, "contradicted": 2, "unresolvable": 32, "open": 2, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 4, "total": 38 }, { "claimant": "ua-government", "party": "ua-government", "members": [ { "id": "ua-government", "name": "Government of Ukraine", "claims": 22 }, { "id": "ua-general-staff", "name": "General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine", "claims": 8 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 1, "contradicted": 1, "unresolvable": 19, "open": 9, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 2, "total": 30 }, { "claimant": "us-government", "party": "us-government", "members": [ { "id": "us-government", "name": "Government of the United States", "claims": 5 } ], "supported": 1, "partly_supported": 1, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 2, "open": 1, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 2, "total": 5 }, { "claimant": "kr-government", "party": "kr-government", "members": [ { "id": "kr-government", "name": "Government of South Korea", "claims": 1 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 0, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 1, "open": 0, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 0, "total": 1 }, { "claimant": "pl-government", "party": "pl-government", "members": [ { "id": "pl-government", "name": "Government of Poland, including the Polish Armed Forces", "claims": 1 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 0, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 1, "open": 0, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 0, "total": 1 }, { "claimant": "ro-government", "party": "ro-government", "members": [ { "id": "ro-government", "name": "Government of Romania", "claims": 2 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 0, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 0, "open": 2, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 0, "total": 2 }, { "claimant": "ru-wagner", "party": "ru-wagner", "members": [ { "id": "ru-wagner", "name": "Wagner Group", "claims": 4 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 0, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 4, "open": 0, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 0, "total": 4 }, { "claimant": "un", "party": "un", "members": [ { "id": "un", "name": "United Nations", "claims": 5 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 0, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 2, "open": 3, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 0, "total": 5 }, { "claimant": "xx-nato", "party": "xx-nato", "members": [ { "id": "xx-nato", "name": "NATO", "claims": 2 } ], "supported": 0, "partly_supported": 0, "contradicted": 0, "unresolvable": 1, "open": 1, "not_checkable": 0, "resolved": 0, "total": 2 } ] } }