{
 "api_version": 1,
 "generated": "2026-10-31T07:23:01.155Z",
 "licence": {
  "name": "CC BY 4.0",
  "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
 },
 "note": "resolved = supported + partly_supported + contradicted, on checkable claims only.",
 "data": {
  "claims": [
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-04pr",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-04pr",
    "proposition": "US strikes on 1 September hit Iranian radar that was nearly rebuilt.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-01",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-01",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-ckt5 records the 1 September US strikes on radar and air defence sites only through CENTCOM, US officials and Iranian state TV; nothing independent shows what the radar sites were or whether they had been rebuilt. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-04wk",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-04wk",
    "proposition": "IAEA inspectors have access only to the Bushehr plant and the Tehran research reactor.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "partly_supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "partly_supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1
      ],
      "reason": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters (ev-20261027-q08g) and to AFP (ev-20261027-2eye) said Iran had not let inspectors return to the bombed sites and that the IAEA had no access to key sites since June 2025, which matches the denial of access to Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The record does not show that inspectors could visit Bushehr or the Tehran reactor. Events: ev-20261027-q08g, ev-20261027-2eye."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-allies-want-iaea-board-to-report-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
      "origin": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/un-nuclear-watchdog-board-refers-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
      "origin": "Two diplomats speaking to AFP, and the resolution text seen by AFP",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-09-09T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-0vd6",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-0vd6",
    "proposition": "The US has struck more than 13,000 targets in Iran since late February.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-06",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-06",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US figures for flights and targets struck but no independent count of targets hit in Iran. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-06 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-1q4k",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-1q4k",
    "proposition": "Iran's attacks in the Gulf target only US forces.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "contradicted",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "contradicted",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2
      ],
      "reason": "UKMTO advisories reported by gCaptain and Al Jazeera in ev-20261027-98gp show the Thai bulk carrier Mayuree Naree was struck in the strait on 11 March, an attack the IRGC itself claimed, and Human Rights Watch in ev-20261027-cd1g reports Iranian forces attacked Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG hub on 18 March; neither was a US force. Events: ev-20261027-98gp, ev-20261027-cd1g."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.gcaptain",
      "url": "https://gcaptain.com/three-crew-missing-from-thai-cargo-ship-hit-in-hormuz/",
      "origin": "UKMTO advisory and Thai navy and Precious Shipping statements",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-03-11T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/five-vessels-attacked-amid-reports-of-iranian-drone-boats-sea-mines",
      "origin": "UKMTO and Joint Maritime Information Center advisories",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-03-12T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.human-rights-watch",
      "url": "https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/03/20/attacks-on-mideast-energy-infrastructure",
      "origin": "Human Rights Watch statement citing QatarEnergy",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-03-20T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-2ekx",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-2ekx",
    "proposition": "The US has struck more than 3,000 targets in Iran and destroyed 43 Iranian warships.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-06",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-06",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record confirms the sinking of the frigate Dena (ev-20261027-jxsk) but holds no independent count of targets struck or of Iranian warships destroyed; both figures rest on US Central Command's word. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-06 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-2fhq",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-2fhq",
    "proposition": "Crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz on 24 June were similar to pre-war levels.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-24",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-24",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Reuters reported shipping data showing about 20 million barrels leaving Hormuz in 24 hours on 24 June, and Bloomberg reported an IEA estimate of UAE exports near 85% of pre-war levels (ev-20261027-7wy5), but the record holds no pre-war Hormuz crude baseline to compare against. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-24 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-2xf9",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-2xf9",
    "proposition": "No ceasefire negotiations between Iran and the US are under way.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-02",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-02",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows messages and proposals passing through Pakistan in early April (ev-20261027-efpv, ev-20261027-rb6n), but only through the parties' statements, and whether that amounts to ceasefire negotiations is not settled independently. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-2xyn",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "il-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-2xyn",
    "proposition": "Iran can no longer enrich uranium or build ballistic missiles.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-19",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-19",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds later reports of Iran rebuilding a struck site (ev-20261027-vj7b) and a newspaper's account of US intelligence on Iran's missile stocks (ev-20261027-vb7k), but no independent evidence on whether Iran could enrich uranium or build ballistic missiles after 19 March. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-3jrm",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-3jrm",
    "proposition": "The IRGC shot down a US MQ-1 drone over the Strait of Hormuz on 21 September.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-21",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-21",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on a US drone downed over the strait on 21 September; the claim rests only on the IRGC and no US confirmation was published. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-21 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-3wfk",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-3wfk",
    "proposition": "Iran did not request a ceasefire.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-01",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-01",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds only the opposing statements of Trump and Iran's foreign ministry, and a Fars source's account of a US ceasefire proposal (ev-20261027-efpv); nothing independent shows who asked whom. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-3xah",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-3xah",
    "proposition": "The US is in serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime in Iran.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-30",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "The US is negotiating with a new government in Iran.",
      "to": "The US is in serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime in Iran.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-30",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Mojtaba Khamenei became supreme leader on 8 March (ev-20261027-r3qh) and that messages passed through mediators, but whether a 'new regime' was in serious discussions with the US is a characterisation the record does not settle. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-41hp",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-41hp",
    "proposition": "Iran did not strike civilian populations during the war.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "contradicted",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "contradicted",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1
      ],
      "reason": "Times of Israel reporting with Magen David Adom figures in ev-20261027-sdjw shows an Iranian missile struck beside a residential building in Tel Aviv on 28 February, killing a caregiver and injuring 27, and Al Jazeera reporting with AP photographs at the scene in ev-20261027-t5ak shows an Iranian missile killed nine people in Beit Shemesh on 1 March. Events: ev-20261027-sdjw, ev-20261027-t5ak."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/woman-killed-dozens-injured-as-iranian-missile-strikes-tel-aviv-residential-block/",
      "origin": "Times of Israel reporting; Magen David Adom figures",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-03-01T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/at-least-nine-killed-after-iranian-strike-on-israels-beit-shemesh",
      "origin": "Al Jazeera report with AP photographs at the scene; Magen David Adom figures",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-03-01T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-45ty",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ae-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-45ty",
    "proposition": "The drones that hit near Barakah on 17 May were launched from Iraqi territory.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-21",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-21",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows the 17 May drone strike near the Barakah plant (ev-20261027-sbkc, IAEA statement) and Saudi Arabia saying drones entered from Iraqi airspace on 18 May (ev-20261027-rzvs), but the launch point of the Barakah drones rests only on UAE statements; no group claimed the attack and no independent source traced it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-21 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-4f64",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-4f64",
    "proposition": "The US agreed at Burgenstock to oil export waivers, frozen-asset releases and a reconstruction plan for Iran.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "partly_supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "partly_supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1
      ],
      "reason": "The US Treasury's 22 June general licence authorising Iranian oil production and sale, tied to the talks in Switzerland (The Maritime Executive, ev-20261027-8gtn), and its later revocation (The Guardian, ev-20261027-z1ys) show the oil waiver was granted. No independent source shows agreed frozen-asset releases or a reconstruction plan, and the mediators' joint statement did not list them (ev-20261027-ztpb). Events: ev-20261027-8gtn, ev-20261027-z1ys."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.the-maritime-executive",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/u-s-treasury-suspends-restrictions-on-iranian-oil-and-tankers-for-60-days",
      "origin": "US Treasury announcement by Scott Bessent",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-06-22T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/08/iran-us-war-ceasefire-peace-agreement-strikes-strait-of-hormuz",
      "origin": "US Treasury statement",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-4gwy",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-4gwy",
    "proposition": "Iran asked the US for a meeting and talks are under way.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-27",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-27",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Iran denied direct talks (ev-20261027-kg0h) and the record holds only Axios reporting of Omani-led mediation; nothing independent shows Iran asked for a meeting or that direct US-Iran meetings took place. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-4hkp",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-4hkp",
    "proposition": "Iran has agreed never to close the Strait of Hormuz again.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-17",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-17",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Araghchi saying the strait was open for the rest of the ceasefire and Iran reimposing strict control the next day (ev-20261027-myrg, ev-20261027-4mjx), but nothing independent shows Iran agreed never to close it again. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-17 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-4htx",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-4htx",
    "proposition": "US strikes on Kharg and Abu Musa were launched from UAE territory.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-14",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-14",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-e9gp and ev-20261027-1983 record Iran's assertion that the strikes came from UAE territory and the UAE's denial; no independent source shows where the aircraft or missiles were launched from. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-4x3q",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-4x3q",
    "proposition": "Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the seven days to 14 July.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "partly_supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "Iran attacked seven commercial ships between 7 and 14 July.",
      "to": "Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the seven days to 14 July.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "partly_supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2,
       3,
       4,
       5
      ],
      "reason": "UKMTO, Omani, Indian and UAE government statements reported by The Guardian and Al Jazeera show the GFS Galaxy struck on 11 July (ev-20261027-m7p1), which the IRGC said it fired on, and two UAE tankers hit by missiles on 13 July (ev-20261027-1ctw), which the UAE blamed on Iran and the IRGC said it hit; UKMTO and Bloomberg show three ships struck on 6 July (ev-20261027-zz24). Iran's responsibility for the 6 July strikes and the count of seven rest on US, Saudi and IRGC statements only. Events: ev-20261027-zz24, ev-20261027-m7p1, ev-20261027-1ctw."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.the-guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/07/qatar-says-iran-fully-responsible-after-tankers-struck-in-strait-of-hormuz",
      "origin": "UKMTO incident report",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-07-07T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.gcaptain",
      "url": "https://gcaptain.com/qatari-lng-ship-struck-in-strait-of-hormuz-testing-us-talks/",
      "origin": "Bloomberg reporting citing people familiar with the matter and EOS Risk Group",
      "role": "corroboration",
      "published_at": "2026-07-07T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en",
      "excerpt": "A laden liquefied natural gas carrier was hit by a projectile near the Omani coast as it exited the Strait of Hormuz."
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/12/us-and-iran-exchange-strikes-as-tehran-again-says-strait-of-hormuz-is-closed",
      "origin": "UKMTO incident report and Indian government statement",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-07-12T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en",
      "excerpt": "The vessel was struck, disabled and its crew forced to take to lifeboats"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/jul/12/iran-gulf-us-strikes-jordan-qatar-uae-strait-hormuz-latest-news-updates-live",
      "origin": "Omani authorities statement",
      "role": "corroboration",
      "published_at": "2026-07-12T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/13/us-launches-third-night-of-strikes-on-iran-as-trump-announces-hormuz-blockade",
      "origin": "UAE government statement",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-07-13T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en",
      "excerpt": "killing one Indian crew member and wounding eight others, including four seriously"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/13/missile-strikes-and-attacks-on-ships-reported-around-strait-of-hormuz",
      "origin": "UAE ministry of defence, Indian foreign ministry and UKMTO statements",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-07-13T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-4y4m",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-4y4m",
    "proposition": "Iran did not carry out the drone strike at Damietta.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-10-31",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-10-31",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Ambrey, Vanguard and Egypt's cabinet confirm a drone struck the Energos Winter at Damietta on 29 July (ev-20261027-bwcp), but no one claimed it and no independent source has named who launched the drone. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-5vrw",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-5vrw",
    "proposition": "Iranian drones and a missile struck a US-contracted vessel carrying American personnel near the Strait of Hormuz in the week of 14 September.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-16",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-16",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on an attack on a US-contracted vessel near the strait in mid-September; the report rests on two unnamed sources quoted by Fox News, which gCaptain could not confirm. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-65gn",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-65gn",
    "proposition": "Iran and Oman have agreed how to divide the Strait of Hormuz and its revenues.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-26",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-26",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds an Oman-Iran joint statement of 25 August on a phased framework for a joint corridor and mine clearance (ev-20261027-peyc), but nothing showing an agreement on shares of the strait or its revenues. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-6k10",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-6k10",
    "proposition": "Mojtaba Khamenei is likely alive but very seriously wounded, with injuries to the left side of his body.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-26",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "Mojtaba Khamenei is alive but seriously wounded.",
      "to": "Mojtaba Khamenei is likely alive but very seriously wounded, with injuries to the left side of his body.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-26",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent information on Mojtaba Khamenei's health; events note only that he has not appeared in public since succeeding his father. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-72p7",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-72p7",
    "proposition": "15 million barrels of oil exited the Strait of Hormuz on the night of 2-3 September.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-03",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no independent ship-tracking or barrel data for the night of 2 to 3 September; the 15 million barrel figure rests only on the vice president. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-03 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-72q3",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-72q3",
    "proposition": "About 18 million barrels of oil flowed out of the Gulf on 15 September.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-16",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "About 18 million barrels of oil flowed out of the Gulf on 15 September, roughly pre-war levels.",
      "to": "About 18 million barrels of oil flowed out of the Gulf on 15 September.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-16",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Reuters, citing preliminary shipping data in ev-20261028-v08p, counted only four transits through the strait on 15 September with no very large crude carriers, which sits badly with 18 million barrels, but Reuters noted some ships cross with transponders off and a single data origin does not settle it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-7e9q",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ae-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-7e9q",
    "proposition": "The UAE did not allow attacks on Iran to be launched from its territory.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-14",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-14",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds the UAE's denial and Iran's opposing assertion (ev-20261027-e9gp, ev-20261027-1983), but no independent evidence of where strikes on Iran were launched from. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-7xc8",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "il-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-7xc8",
    "proposition": "The IRGC Quds Force runs an increased weapons smuggling effort from Syria to Hezbollah.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-23",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-23",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on weapons smuggling from Syria to Hezbollah, or on the Quds Force running it, in this period; the claim rests only on Israeli security officials quoted by Channel 12. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-8j0e",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "un",
    "statement": "st-20261027-8j0e",
    "proposition": "At least 20 seafarers or port workers have been killed in 68 maritime incidents in and near the Gulf since February.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-25",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-25",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record's only counts of seafarer deaths are the IMO's own (ev-20261027-0ev8 gives 70 incidents and 19 seafarer deaths as of 26 August; ev-20261027-dfjw gives 22 by 15 September), so they cannot count for the IMO's claim, and no independent tally matches its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-25 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-8ybf",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-8ybf",
    "proposition": "Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows an IRGC adviser declaring the strait closed on 2 March (ev-20261027-57h0), traffic falling below a tenth of prewar levels (ev-20261027-thyf) and an IRGC vetting system for transits (ev-20261027-a94a); whether that is a closure or the 'control' the commander described turns on wording, and the record does not settle it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-97y8",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "xx-iaea",
    "statement": "st-20261027-97y8",
    "proposition": "There are indications of movement around construction at the Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-10",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "There is construction activity at the Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz.",
      "to": "There are indications of movement around construction at the Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-10",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on Pickaxe Mountain; the claim rests only on the IAEA director general, who said the agency lacked concrete information. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-10 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-99cm",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-99cm",
    "proposition": "About 40% of damaged South Pars capacity is back in production.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-27",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-27",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on South Pars repairs or output after the war damage; the 40 percent figure rests only on Iran's deputy oil minister. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-9fyx",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-9fyx",
    "proposition": "The Islamabad memorandum of understanding has been signed by both presidents and is in effect.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2
      ],
      "reason": "Keystone-SDA reporting carried by Swissinfo and the White House confirmation in ev-20261027-4d4r show the memorandum signed electronically on 17 June; US Central Command's announcement ending the blockade after the signing (Military Times, ev-20261027-25v1) and the US Treasury's oil licence tied to the signed framework (The Maritime Executive, ev-20261027-8gtn) show it took effect. Events: ev-20261027-4d4r, ev-20261027-25v1, ev-20261027-8gtn."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.swissinfo",
      "url": "https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/the-iran-us-summit-at-burgenstock-in-the-north-west-has-officially-begun/91624667",
      "origin": "Keystone-SDA report",
      "role": "corroboration",
      "published_at": "2026-06-21T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.military-times",
      "url": "https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-navy/2026/06/18/us-military-lifts-navy-blockade-in-strait-of-hormuz-after-two-months/",
      "origin": "US Central Command announcement",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-maritime-executive",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/u-s-treasury-suspends-restrictions-on-iranian-oil-and-tankers-for-60-days",
      "origin": "US Treasury announcement by Scott Bessent",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-06-22T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-9tzq",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-9tzq",
    "proposition": "The US-Iran memorandum was signed digitally on 14 June.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows the deal announced on 14 June (ev-20261027-8yfe) and the memorandum signed electronically with presidential signatures on 17 June per Iran's foreign ministry, the White House and Keystone-SDA (ev-20261027-4d4r), with a formal signing still expected on 19 June as of 16 June (ev-20261027-x2fp). Whether negotiators signed digitally on 14 June rests only on US officials. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-9vd9",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-9vd9",
    "proposition": "The US and Iran have held very good and productive conversations, with envoys Witkoff and Kushner holding talks, on resolving the hostilities.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-23",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "US envoys held talks with Iranian counterparts on 22 March.",
      "to": "The US and Iran have held very good and productive conversations, with envoys Witkoff and Kushner holding talks, on resolving the hostilities.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-23",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-ahwc and ev-20261027-jvq1 record Trump's statement, Iran's denial of talks and Iran's confirmation that it received US messages through friendly countries; nothing independent shows talks were held. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-b2a6",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-b2a6",
    "proposition": "The US blockade has prevented at least $25 billion of Iranian crude exports.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows the blockade cut Iranian crude exports sharply (for example ev-20261027-hqx3) but holds no independent estimate of the value of exports prevented; the 25 billion dollar figure rests only on CENTCOM. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-bcma",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-bcma",
    "proposition": "Iranian strikes destroyed 17 US drones and 11 US manned aircraft on the ground.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-25",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-25",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is the IRGC's figure for US aircraft losses at unnamed bases; the record holds no independent count or imagery of US aircraft destroyed on the ground in this period. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-25 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-bdtt",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-bdtt",
    "proposition": "Iran's air force has been destroyed.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-30",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-30",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Israeli and US accounts of strikes on Iranian aircraft (ev-20261027-6qe3) but no independent assessment of the state of Iran's air force. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-bhaz",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-bhaz",
    "proposition": "US forces have destroyed about 92 percent of Iran's large naval vessels.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-26",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-26",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US figures for Iranian naval losses but no independent count of Iran's large naval vessels or of how many were destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-bj94",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-bj94",
    "proposition": "About 6,000 targets have been struck in Iran and more than 90 Iranian vessels damaged or destroyed.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-12",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-12",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US claims of strikes on Iranian vessels (ev-20261027-w2eb) but no independent count of targets struck or of Iranian vessels damaged or destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-btjq",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-btjq",
    "proposition": "No US-Iran talks are under way.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-19",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-19",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Pakistani-mediated contacts with Iran in late August (ev-20261027-jkax) and no independent reporting on whether US-Iran talks were under way on 18-19 August. Nothing in the record shows talks then, or rules them out. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-c06a",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-c06a",
    "proposition": "The UAE took a direct part in military action against Iran.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds a Wall Street Journal report, citing people familiar with the matter, that the UAE secretly struck Iran including the Lavan Island refinery (ev-20261027-1cfa, ev-20261027-5xc1); the UAE declined to comment. That is a single unaffiliated origin, so the record does not settle whether the UAE took a direct part. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-c5nx",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-c5nx",
    "proposition": "Iran violated the memorandum by attacking the Ever Lovely.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-27",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-27",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. UKMTO, Ambrey and Vanguard reporting in ev-20261027-63wa show the Ever Lovely was struck on 25 June, but only US Central Command attributes it to Iran and Iran did not claim it. Whether the attack breached the memorandum is a legal reading this ledger does not judge. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-chf2",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-chf2",
    "proposition": "Iran agreed to 'a perfect deal' giving up 'everything' shortly before it attacked a ship.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-12",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "Iran agreed to a deal giving up its nuclear programme on 11 July.",
      "to": "Iran agreed to 'a perfect deal' giving up 'everything' shortly before it attacked a ship.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-12",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record carries Trump's account (ev-20261027-65jd) and Iran's foreign ministry saying the 11 July Oman talks failed; Iran denied asking for talks (ev-20261027-gktm). No independent source shows Iran agreed any deal that day. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-cjb5",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-cjb5",
    "proposition": "Iran's nuclear programme and military have been destroyed.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "contradicted",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "contradicted",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2,
       3
      ],
      "reason": "Kuwaiti and Bahrain Defence Force statements reported by Al Jazeera and Annahar show Iran firing ballistic missiles and drones at Kuwait and Bahrain on 28 June (ev-20261027-s8vf), and Kuwait's defence ministry and Jordan's army, reported by Al Jazeera and CNBC, show further Iranian missile and drone attacks on 15 July (ev-20261027-dz22), so Iran's military was not destroyed. The state of the nuclear programme is not settled by the record. Events: ev-20261027-s8vf, ev-20261027-dz22."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/28/iran-war-day-121-iran-attacks-bahrain-kuwait-as-us-strikes-near-hormuz",
      "origin": "IRGC statement, Kuwaiti statement and US official to Reuters",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-06-28T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.annahar",
      "url": "https://en.annahar.com/en/324935/bahrain-announces-interception-of-iranian-air-strikes-residential-building-damaged-in-muharraq-photos",
      "origin": "Bahrain Defence Force and Interior Ministry statements",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-06-28T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/15/us-resumes-iran-ports-blockade-as-gulf-attacks-continue-whats-the-latest",
      "origin": "Kuwaiti defence ministry statement",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-07-15T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.cnbc",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/14/iran-strikes-hormuz-strait-blockade-trump-tolls.html",
      "origin": "Jordanian army statement",
      "role": "contradiction",
      "published_at": "2026-07-15T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-cxkg",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-cxkg",
    "proposition": "17 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz on 31 August 2026.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-02",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-02",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-qaqd records Wright's 17 million barrel figure, which Reuters did not confirm, and Kpler data showing about 10 commodity vessels crossed on 31 August; vessel counts do not give barrels, and some ships transit with transponders off. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-dgb5",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ye-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-dgb5",
    "proposition": "2,316 Houthi fighters were killed or wounded in three days of fighting in late September 2026.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-29",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-29",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The figure is a party's count of the other side's losses; the record holds only government and Houthi claims for late September fighting (for example ev-20261027-wjpv) and no independent count. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-dv1v",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-dv1v",
    "proposition": "Iran is not holding talks with the United States.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "Iran is not negotiating with the US; an Iran-Oman route deal will not reopen the strait.",
      "to": "Iran is not holding talks with the United States.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-03",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. A senior Middle East diplomat told MS NOW the US and Europe were pressing Oman over a draft arrangement, US officials said they were in talks with Iran and an Iranian official said Iran negotiated only with Oman (ev-20261027-jpy4). The record does not settle whether US-Iran talks, direct or indirect, were held. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-03 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-dyww",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-dyww",
    "proposition": "Iran has not sought a ceasefire or negotiations with the US.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Araghchi's interview (ev-20261027-jk7h) and later reports of messages passed through mediators (ev-20261027-jvq1), but no independent evidence that Iran asked for a ceasefire or talks before 15 March. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-e7p6",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "il-idf",
    "statement": "st-20261027-e7p6",
    "proposition": "The 401st Brigade destroyed 1,200 Hezbollah structures and killed more than 60 operatives in eight months.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-02",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-02",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. These are IDF figures for Hezbollah losses and structures destroyed over eight months; the record holds no independent count matching that scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-f141",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-f141",
    "proposition": "12.5 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz overnight into 18 June, the highest since the war began.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-18",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-18",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no independent shipping-data figure for the night into 18 June; the nearest is Reuters reporting about 20 million barrels leaving Hormuz in 24 hours on 24 June (ev-20261027-7wy5), which does not bear on whether 18 June was the highest to that date. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-18 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-fbx5",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-fbx5",
    "proposition": "Iran did not accept US terms at the Islamabad talks, which required an affirmative commitment that Iran would not seek a nuclear weapon.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-12",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "Iran refused to commit not to seek a nuclear weapon.",
      "to": "Iran did not accept US terms at the Islamabad talks, which required an affirmative commitment that Iran would not seek a nuclear weapon.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "checkable",
      "from": false,
      "to": true,
      "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-12",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-yn0f records the Islamabad talks ending without a deal, but only through Vance, Iranian officials and Pakistan's foreign minister as relayed by Al Jazeera; nothing independent shows what Iran declined to commit to. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-fcs1",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "lb-hezbollah",
    "statement": "st-20261027-fcs1",
    "proposition": "Hezbollah carried out no attacks between the 14 June deal announcement and 15 June.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Reuters reported on 15 June that an Israeli drone strike was the first deadly attack in Lebanon since the deal (ev-20261027-7n7n), and the record has no Hezbollah attack logged for 14 to 15 June after the announcement, but the IDF strike on Beirut on 14 June followed Hezbollah drone fire whose timing relative to the announcement is not fixed (ev-20261027-r5za). Absence of a report does not settle it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-g5a4",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-g5a4",
    "proposition": "Iran received US messages signalling openness to new talks.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-16",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "checkable",
      "from": false,
      "to": true,
      "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-16",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Pakistan acting as the channel for messages between Washington and Tehran in mid May (ev-20261027-sy6k) and Iran replying to a US proposal on 18 May by its own account (ev-20261027-g3ne), but nothing independent shows the content of US messages or that they signalled openness to new talks. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-gevw",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "il-idf",
    "statement": "st-20261027-gevw",
    "proposition": "More than 1,000 Hezbollah members were killed between 2 March and early April 2026.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-05",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-05",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Lebanon's health ministry toll of all dead, which does not separate Hezbollah members, and no independent count of Hezbollah fighters killed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-05 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-h5cy",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-h5cy",
    "proposition": "US military operations caused the recent oil pollution in Gulf waters.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-17",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-17",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds satellite-tracked slicks from the grounded Caroline Bezengi off Oman (ev-20261027-9cam) and Greenpeace's later count of spills in the strait (ev-20261027-tqa3), but nothing tracing the slick that reached Qeshm to US military operations. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-17 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-he27",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-he27",
    "proposition": "The United States knew nothing about Israel's strike on South Pars.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-19",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-19",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-93n7 records Trump's statement and an unnamed Pentagon official's contrary account carried by The National; neither is independent, and nothing else in the record shows what the US knew. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-hkmz",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "il-idf",
    "statement": "st-20261027-hkmz",
    "proposition": "Israel has carried out about 7,600 strikes in Iran and 1,100 in Lebanon since 28 February.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-13",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-13",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent count of Israeli strikes in Iran or Lebanon since 28 February that matches these figures. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-j2yz",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "sa-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-j2yz",
    "proposition": "Saudi territory has not been used to launch attacks on Iran.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-09",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-09",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent evidence on whether Saudi territory or airspace was used for attacks on Iran. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-09 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-j8ea",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-j8ea",
    "proposition": "An IRGC strike on a US base in Jordan on 1 September 2026 killed a large number of US troops.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-01",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-01",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-gt9k records the IRGC claim alongside Jordan's army reporting no casualties and two US officials telling Reuters initial assessments found none, but those are party sources; the record has no independent count of US deaths from the 1 September attack. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-jby4",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-jby4",
    "proposition": "The US Navy has cleared mines from the main Hormuz shipping lane.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-25",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-25",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-xgkv records CENTCOM's statement that mines were cleared from the traffic separation scheme, against Bloomberg sources saying not all mines Iran laid were cleared and a JMIC warning that drifting mines remain a risk; neither settles whether the main lane itself was cleared. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-25 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-jfej",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-jfej",
    "proposition": "Iranian forces have pushed US forces out of the waters off southern Iran.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-28",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-28",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds CENTCOM statements on US operations in the Gulf of Oman and around the strait in October (ev-20261027-ek8x, ev-20261027-2fph), all from the US side; no independent reporting shows where US naval forces were after 28 September. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-28 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-jpe7",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "un",
    "statement": "st-20261027-jpe7",
    "proposition": "Civilian casualties in Yemen are rising as Houthi-government fighting escalates.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "partly_supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "partly_supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2
      ],
      "reason": "Medical sources speaking to AFP show the fiercest Houthi-government clashes in years from early July (ev-20261027-gmnm) and civilians killed in Houthi attacks on Mokha on 9 August (ev-20261027-17q2), and the Mokha port director told Reuters seven were killed in recent strikes (ev-20261027-v9ze). The record has no civilian casualty series to show the toll's trend. Events: ev-20261027-gmnm, ev-20261027-17q2, ev-20261027-v9ze."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/5/at-least-15-yemeni-government-troops-killed-in-hodeidah-fighting",
      "origin": "Medical sources and military officials speaking to AFP",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-07-05T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-new-arab",
      "url": "https://www.newarab.com/news/least-11-killed-houthi-strikes-yemens-mokha",
      "origin": "Medical source in Mokha speaking to AFP",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-08-09T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/yemens-mocha-port-halts-operations-after-houthi-attacks-port-director-says/",
      "origin": "Mokha port director news conference, reported by Reuters",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-08-15T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-jr8a",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-jr8a",
    "proposition": "Iran's oil storage has not reached capacity under the US blockade.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-30",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-30",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds the opposing statements of Bessent and Ghalibaf but no independent data on Iranian oil storage in late April. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-k44j",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-k44j",
    "proposition": "There has been no exchange of fire between US and Iranian forces since 7 April.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-30",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-30",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows a US destroyer firing on the Iranian-flagged cargo ship Touska (ev-20261027-bkdb) and Tasnim saying Iranian drones were launched at US vessels afterwards (ev-20261027-m1nx), but no independent confirmation of fire exchanged between US and Iranian forces between 7 and 30 April. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-kahk",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-kahk",
    "proposition": "Iran has passed three conditions for talks to the US through Qatar and Pakistan.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-19",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-19",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Iran's seven-day proposal delivered through Qatar in late September (ev-20261027-2vm8) but no independent confirmation from Qatar or Pakistan of the three conditions Rezaei described. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-kv7b",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-kv7b",
    "proposition": "Mojtaba Khamenei is wounded and likely disfigured.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-13",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-13",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment (ev-20261027-r3qh) and reports that he was not seen in public for months (ev-20261027-91s7, ev-20261027-y0t2), but no independent account of any wound or disfigurement. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-kw0q",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-kw0q",
    "proposition": "More than 30 vessels transited Hormuz in coordination with the IRGC navy in 24 hours.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-23",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-23",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds IRGC transit counts for other days (ev-20261027-c059) but no independent ship-tracking count for the 24 hours to 23 May. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-pb16",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-pb16",
    "proposition": "Iran is not negotiating with the US, directly or indirectly.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-26",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-26",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Axios reporting carried by Al Jazeera said Oman was leading mediation with US envoys involved and had proposed a 10-day ceasefire (ev-20261027-kg0h), while Iran says intermediaries only relay messages. That single origin does not settle whether indirect negotiations were under way. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-peya",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-artesh",
    "statement": "st-20261027-peya",
    "proposition": "Iran did not ask the US to halt its planned strikes.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-02",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-02",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record carries Trump's statement that Tehran and Middle Eastern countries asked for a delay and a Channel 12 report of Qatari talks with Iran, the US and Oman (ev-20261027-4azc); nothing independent shows whether Iran itself asked for a halt. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-qkaw",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-qkaw",
    "proposition": "Almost all Iranian missiles fired at US forces in Jordan were intercepted.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-30",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-30",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-089m records Jordan's army saying it intercepted eight missiles that entered its airspace and a US source saying nearly all were intercepted, but no independent count of how many were fired at US forces and how many got through. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-rt3w",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "xx-iaea",
    "statement": "st-20261027-rt3w",
    "proposition": "The IAEA does not currently have access to key Iranian nuclear sites.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "The IAEA has had no access to key Iranian nuclear facilities since June 2025.",
      "to": "The IAEA does not currently have access to key Iranian nuclear sites.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1
      ],
      "reason": "Reuters reporting with diplomats in ev-20261027-q08g says Iran has not let inspectors return to bombed sites or verify its enriched uranium, and AFP reporting on the board resolution in ev-20261027-2eye records that the agency has had no access to key Iranian sites, both carried by The Times of Israel. Events: ev-20261027-q08g, ev-20261027-2eye."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-allies-want-iaea-board-to-report-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
      "origin": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/un-nuclear-watchdog-board-refers-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
      "origin": "Two diplomats speaking to AFP, and the resolution text seen by AFP",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-09-09T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-s0b9",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-s0b9",
    "proposition": "Saudi Arabia requested the postponement of the Iran-Gulf Hormuz meeting.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-14",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-14",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-k0wm records Oman's foreign minister saying the Hormuz meeting was postponed in the interests of consensus, without saying who asked; only Iran says Saudi Arabia requested it, and Riyadh did not comment. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-s1te",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-s1te",
    "proposition": "US strikes destroyed every military target on Kharg Island while leaving oil facilities intact.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-13",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-13",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-e9gp records the Kharg strikes only through Trump, CENTCOM and Fars accounts; Fars said oil infrastructure was not damaged, but nothing independent shows that every military target was destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-s44x",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-s44x",
    "proposition": "Two oil tankers struck Iranian naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz on 17 October 2026.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-16",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-16",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no independent report of two tankers hitting mines on 17 October; ev-20261027-z2e5 notes a series of similar IRGC mine claims that were not substantiated, and JMIC found no evidence a mine sank the GFS Pride (ev-20261027-2fph). Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-17 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-s6dh",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-s6dh",
    "proposition": "The US has destroyed 158 Iranian naval vessels.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-13",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-13",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US and CENTCOM figures for Iranian vessels destroyed (for example ev-20261027-8jyx) but no independent count. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-se3k",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-se3k",
    "proposition": "US cameras watch all three sites where Iran's enriched uranium is held.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-04",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-04",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Nothing in the record describes US cameras at Iranian uranium sites; IAEA reporting in the record says inspectors had not returned to the bombed sites (ev-20261027-q08g), which neither confirms nor rules out US surveillance. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-04 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-sy2v",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-sy2v",
    "proposition": "A crude oil supertanker struck an Iranian naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz on 10 October 2026.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-09",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-09",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-7gvf records a supertanker, the Gem No.2, ablaze in the Gulf on 9 to 10 October, which maritime agencies cited by The National linked to a suspected drone attack; nothing independent shows any tanker struck a mine that day. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-10 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-t1kg",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-t1kg",
    "proposition": "Iran has agreed to most of the US 15-point plan.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-29",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-29",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Iran received the 15-point plan, called it maximalist and later sent counter-demands (ev-20261027-ee7n, ev-20261027-rb6n), all through the parties' own statements; nothing independent shows what Iran agreed to. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-t5tv",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-t5tv",
    "proposition": "Iran has allowed ships from several countries through the Strait of Hormuz.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-22",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-22",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Pakistan's foreign minister saying Iran agreed to let Pakistani ships through and Lloyd's List counting transits on IRGC-approved routes (ev-20261027-dnkq, ev-20261027-a94a), but only through Al Jazeera and not by 22 March from a source tied to no party. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-22 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-t7hn",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-t7hn",
    "proposition": "Iran holds uranium enriched to 60 percent.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2
      ],
      "reason": "Reuters reporting with diplomats in ev-20261027-q08g says the IAEA believes well over 200 kg of highly enriched uranium survived at Isfahan and Natanz, the IAEA board record in ev-20261027-2jna gives its estimate of 440 kg of 60 percent uranium, and two senior Iranian sources told Reuters in ev-20261027-cpwx that the supreme leader ordered it kept in Iran. Events: ev-20261027-q08g, ev-20261027-2jna, ev-20261027-cpwx."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-allies-want-iaea-board-to-report-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
      "origin": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/11/un-watchdog-demands-iran-provide-information-on-nuclear-stockpile",
      "origin": "IAEA board vote; Iranian envoy statement",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-06-11T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.khaleej-times",
      "url": "https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/khamenei-highly-enriched-uranium-stay-iran",
      "origin": "Reuters, citing two senior Iranian sources",
      "role": "corroboration",
      "published_at": "2026-05-21T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-tbdf",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-tbdf",
    "proposition": "Iran's president asked the United States for a ceasefire.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-01",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-01",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Trump's statement, Iran's denial and a Fars source saying Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal (ev-20261027-efpv); no independent source shows Pezeshkian asked for a ceasefire. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-tnav",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-tnav",
    "proposition": "About 50% of damaged South Pars capacity has been restored.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-23",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-23",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on South Pars repairs or output; the 50 percent figure rests only on Iran's deputy oil minister. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-v7f7",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "cn-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-v7f7",
    "proposition": "Chinese entities did not supply Iran with satellite imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base linked to the 17 July strike.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-14",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "proposition",
      "from": "Chinese entities supplied Iran with satellite imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base linked to the 17 July strike.",
      "to": "Chinese entities did not supply Iran with satellite imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base linked to the 17 July strike.",
      "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-14",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on the Wall Street Journal report or any independent evidence on whether Chinese entities supplied imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base to Iran. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-v7fc",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-v7fc",
    "proposition": "The blockade is filling Kharg Island storage and could force Iranian output cuts costing about 170 million dollars a day.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-28",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-28",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent data on Kharg Island storage levels or Iranian output in late April 2026. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-28 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-vb64",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "qa-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-vb64",
    "proposition": "The US told Qatar about 30 minutes before the 28 February strikes began.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-29",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-29",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on when Qatar was told of the 28 February strikes; the claim rests only on the Qatari prime minister. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-vex4",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ae-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-vex4",
    "proposition": "The Strait of Hormuz is not open to free navigation despite the ceasefire.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "supported",
    "next_check": "2026-11-03",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "verdict",
      "from": "open",
      "to": "supported",
      "rule": "independent_origins",
      "citations": [
       0,
       1,
       2
      ],
      "reason": "Kpler data analysed by AP and Lloyd's List Intelligence figures in ev-20261027-jwaw and ev-20261027-vzq4 show only five to seven ships a day crossing after the ceasefire against about 120 to 140 before the war, more than 600 vessels still stranded, and an LNG tanker turning back from an IRGC-ordered route. Events: ev-20261027-jwaw, ev-20261027-vzq4."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "citations": [
     {
      "source": "src.al-jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/4/10/shipping-in-strait-of-hormuz-at-a-trickle-despite-us-iran-ceasefire",
      "origin": "Kpler ship-tracking data; Lloyd's List Intelligence; ADNOC CEO post",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.nbc-washington",
      "url": "https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/national-international/live-updates-iran-war-us-israel-middle-east-april-9/4088222/",
      "origin": "Kpler ship-tracking data analysed by AP",
      "role": "corroboration",
      "published_at": "2026-04-09T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     },
     {
      "source": "src.nbc-washington",
      "url": "https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/national-international/live-updates-iran-war-us-israel-middle-east-april-9/4088222/",
      "origin": "Kpler ship-tracking data analysed by AP; Trump Truth Social posts",
      "role": "evidence",
      "published_at": "2026-04-09T00:00:00Z",
      "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
      "language": "en"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-vpnx",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-vpnx",
    "proposition": "Saudi Arabia suspended US use of its bases and airspace for the Hormuz operation.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-07",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-07",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no event on Saudi Arabia suspending US use of its bases or airspace in May; the claim rests on officials quoted by NBC News. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-07 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-vv54",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-vv54",
    "proposition": "Iran's ability to attack ships in Hormuz has been degraded.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-21",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-21",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds CENTCOM's account but no independent measure of Iran's anti-ship capability after 21 March; attacks on ships continued in later weeks (ev-20261027-eqm1, ev-20261027-52ac). Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-21 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-vvyx",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-vvyx",
    "proposition": "China, Russia and France have contacted Iran about a ceasefire.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-09",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-09",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no Chinese, Russian or French statement, or independent report, on contacting Iran about a ceasefire around 9 March 2026. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-09 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-wa2m",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ye-ansar-allah",
    "statement": "st-20261027-wa2m",
    "proposition": "No fees are being charged on ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-01",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-01",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no report of fees being charged, or not charged, on ships in Bab el-Mandeb around 1 August. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-wrds",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-wrds",
    "proposition": "China pledged not to supply military equipment to Iran.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-15",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-15",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds only the White House statement and Trump's remarks on the Beijing summit (ev-20261027-4vh5); no Chinese government statement or independent reporting on a pledge about military supplies to Iran is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-wv62",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-wv62",
    "proposition": "No negotiations have been held between Iran and the US.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-23",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-23",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-ahwc and ev-20261027-jvq1 record Ghalibaf's denial alongside Iran's own confirmation that US messages arrived through intermediaries; whether that exchange counts as negotiations is not settled by any independent source. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-ww1r",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-irgc",
    "statement": "st-20261027-ww1r",
    "proposition": "Iranian missiles struck an Israeli naval base in Haifa on 11 March.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-11",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-11",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Iranian missiles fired at Israel on 11 March alongside a Hezbollah barrage (ev-20261027-vyq6), but no source reports a hit on a naval base in Haifa. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-11 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-x3ba",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-x3ba",
    "proposition": "Iran's 28 mine-laying boats have been sunk.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-11",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-11",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US accounts of strikes on Iranian minelaying vessels (ev-20261027-w2eb) but no independent count of Iran's minelaying boats or how many were sunk. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-11 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-xk9v",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-artesh",
    "statement": "st-20261027-xk9v",
    "proposition": "Iranian strikes hit more than 170 enemy aircraft during the first six weeks of the war.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2027-01-28",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2027-01-28",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Iran's figure for the other side's losses; the record holds no independent count of aircraft hit. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-28 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-xtag",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-xtag",
    "proposition": "The US has struck more than 5,000 targets and destroyed 80 to 90 percent of Iran's missile launchers.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-09",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-09",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Both figures rest on Donald Trump's word; the record holds no independent count of targets struck or of Iranian missile launchers destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-09 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-xyd5",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-xyd5",
    "proposition": "Iran does not target civilians.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-18",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-18",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds many Iranian strikes that harmed civilians in Israel and the Gulf, but whether Iran aimed at civilians is a question of intent the record does not settle. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-18 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-y9h8",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-y9h8",
    "proposition": "A US strike hit a wedding gathering in Sirik County on 1 September.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-02",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-02",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-8024 records the Iranian Red Crescent and Iranian media saying a US strike hit a wedding in Sirik County and CENTCOM saying it never targets civilians; the figures and the account were not independently verified. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-y9yw",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-y9yw",
    "proposition": "Iran agreed at Burgenstock to readmit IAEA inspectors.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-22",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-22",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record carries Vance's statement and a Maritime Executive line that Iran was reportedly agreeing to readmit inspectors (ev-20261027-8gtn, ev-20261027-ztpb), but the mediators' joint statement did not mention it and later reporting says inspectors did not return to the bombed sites (ev-20261027-q08g). Whether Iran agreed at Burgenstock is not shown. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-22 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-ytq2",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-military",
    "statement": "st-20261027-ytq2",
    "proposition": "Commercial traffic continued to flow through the Strait of Hormuz on 20 June despite Iran's closure declaration.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-20",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-20",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Reuters reporting with Kpler data that traffic was weaker on 21 June and that two crude tankers crossed on 22 June (ev-20261027-8732), but no independent count for 20 June itself. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-yzg7",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-yzg7",
    "proposition": "About 16 million barrels of crude moved through the Strait of Hormuz in the 24 hours before 20 June, roughly the pre-war level.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-20",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-20",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. No independent figure for crude moved through Hormuz in the 24 hours before 20 June is in the record; Reuters and Kpler data in ev-20261027-8732 cover 21 and 22 June and show weak traffic against a pre-war average of 125 crossings a day. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-z0zs",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-z0zs",
    "proposition": "Iran, the United States and Lebanon agreed to form a committee to oversee the end of the war in Lebanon.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-30",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-30",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The only record of a Lebanon mechanism is the Qatar-Pakistan joint statement after Burgenstock describing a de-confliction cell involving Lebanon (The National, ev-20261027-ztpb), a single origin that does not describe a committee of Iran, the US and Lebanon. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-z979",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-z979",
    "proposition": "The US agreed to release $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-12",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-12",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The $24 billion figure appears in the record only as an Iranian Mehr report on the deal terms (ev-20261027-8yfe); Qatar later said $6 billion in frozen funds had not been transferred (ev-20261027-6nmn). No independent source shows a US agreement to release $24 billion. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-zcdw",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-zcdw",
    "proposition": "The United States accepted some of Iran's seven conditions for reopening the strait.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-11-10",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "checkable",
      "from": false,
      "to": true,
      "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
     },
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-11-10",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds the exchange of proposals through Qatar in late September and early October (ev-20261027-2vm8, ev-20261027-9r20) but nothing independent on what the US response accepted. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-11 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   },
   {
    "id": "cl-20261027-zg0r",
    "type": "claim",
    "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "statement": "st-20261027-zg0r",
    "proposition": "Iranian missile launches had fallen about 90 percent from the first day of the war by 10 March.",
    "checkable": true,
    "verdict": "open",
    "next_check": "2026-12-10",
    "revision": 2,
    "history": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
      "field": "next_check",
      "from": "2026-11-03",
      "to": "2026-12-10",
      "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent tally of Iranian missile launches by day, so the 90 percent fall rests on the Pentagon briefing alone. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-10 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
     }
    ],
    "record_state": "active",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
    "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
   }
  ],
  "track_record": [
   {
    "claimant": "ir-government",
    "party": "ir-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "ir-government",
      "name": "Government of Iran",
      "claims": 30
     },
     {
      "id": "ir-irgc",
      "name": "Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps",
      "claims": 8
     },
     {
      "id": "ir-artesh",
      "name": "Islamic Republic of Iran Army",
      "claims": 2
     }
    ],
    "supported": 1,
    "partly_supported": 2,
    "contradicted": 2,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 35,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 5,
    "total": 40
   },
   {
    "claimant": "us-government",
    "party": "us-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "us-government",
      "name": "Government of the United States",
      "claims": 39
     },
     {
      "id": "us-military",
      "name": "United States Armed Forces",
      "claims": 7
     }
    ],
    "supported": 1,
    "partly_supported": 1,
    "contradicted": 1,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 43,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 3,
    "total": 46
   },
   {
    "claimant": "ae-government",
    "party": "ae-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "ae-government",
      "name": "Government of the United Arab Emirates",
      "claims": 3
     }
    ],
    "supported": 1,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 2,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 1,
    "total": 3
   },
   {
    "claimant": "un",
    "party": "un",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "un",
      "name": "United Nations",
      "claims": 2
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 1,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 1,
    "total": 2
   },
   {
    "claimant": "xx-iaea",
    "party": "xx-iaea",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "xx-iaea",
      "name": "International Atomic Energy Agency (Board of Governors and Director General)",
      "claims": 2
     }
    ],
    "supported": 1,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 1,
    "total": 2
   },
   {
    "claimant": "cn-government",
    "party": "cn-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "cn-government",
      "name": "Government of China",
      "claims": 1
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 1
   },
   {
    "claimant": "il-government",
    "party": "il-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "il-idf",
      "name": "Israel Defense Forces",
      "claims": 3
     },
     {
      "id": "il-government",
      "name": "Government of Israel",
      "claims": 2
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 5,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 5
   },
   {
    "claimant": "lb-hezbollah",
    "party": "lb-hezbollah",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "lb-hezbollah",
      "name": "Hezbollah",
      "claims": 1
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 1
   },
   {
    "claimant": "qa-government",
    "party": "qa-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "qa-government",
      "name": "Government of Qatar",
      "claims": 1
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 1
   },
   {
    "claimant": "sa-government",
    "party": "sa-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "sa-government",
      "name": "Government of Saudi Arabia",
      "claims": 1
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 1
   },
   {
    "claimant": "ye-ansar-allah",
    "party": "ye-ansar-allah",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "ye-ansar-allah",
      "name": "Ansar Allah (the Houthis)",
      "claims": 1
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 1
   },
   {
    "claimant": "ye-government",
    "party": "ye-government",
    "members": [
     {
      "id": "ye-government",
      "name": "Government of Yemen (internationally recognised, Presidential Leadership Council)",
      "claims": 1
     }
    ],
    "supported": 0,
    "partly_supported": 0,
    "contradicted": 0,
    "unresolvable": 0,
    "open": 1,
    "not_checkable": 0,
    "resolved": 0,
    "total": 1
   }
  ]
 }
}
