[
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-02kj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-02kj",
  "proposition": "A fragment of a Ukrainian Tochka-U missile caused the collapse of an apartment building in Belgorod on 12 May 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-05-12) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-h6jb records the Russian defence ministry's account and the denial by Andrii Kovalenko of Ukraine's security council; the Kyiv Independent said it could not verify either. No independent evidence in the record shows what caused the collapse."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-041t",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-041t",
  "proposition": "A further round of trilateral talks would take place soon after Geneva.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-04pr",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-04pr",
  "proposition": "US strikes on 1 September hit Iranian radar that was nearly rebuilt.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-01",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-01",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-ckt5 records the 1 September US strikes on radar and air defence sites only through CENTCOM, US officials and Iranian state TV; nothing independent shows what the radar sites were or whether they had been rebuilt. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-04wk",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-04wk",
  "proposition": "IAEA inspectors have access only to the Bushehr plant and the Tehran research reactor.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters (ev-20261027-q08g) and to AFP (ev-20261027-2eye) said Iran had not let inspectors return to the bombed sites and that the IAEA had no access to key sites since June 2025, which matches the denial of access to Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The record does not show that inspectors could visit Bushehr or the Tehran reactor. Events: ev-20261027-q08g, ev-20261027-2eye."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-allies-want-iaea-board-to-report-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
    "origin": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/un-nuclear-watchdog-board-refers-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
    "origin": "Two diplomats speaking to AFP, and the resolution text seen by AFP",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-09-09T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-09t6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-09t6",
  "proposition": "Zelensky and Trump agreed on post-war security guarantees at Davos in January 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Zelensky's statements that US security guarantees were agreed (ev-20261027-7jmz), but Trump put them at about 95 percent and the second Abu Dhabi round on 4 February left guarantees unresolved (ev-20261027-ven8); nothing independently shows an agreement at Davos. Next check on the ladder from 2026-01-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-0j06",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-0j06",
  "proposition": "Iran will not end the war with the US unless Israel stops attacking Lebanon.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-0q84",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-0q84",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's energy generation cannot be fully restored before winter 2026-27.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-0rrs",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-0rrs",
  "proposition": "The US is preparing a new war on Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-0sgq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-0sgq",
  "proposition": "The US broke its word under the memorandum.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-0t5c",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-0t5c",
  "proposition": "There is no ceasefire in Lebanon.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-0vd6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-0vd6",
  "proposition": "The US has struck more than 13,000 targets in Iran since late February.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-06",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-06",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US figures for flights and targets struck but no independent count of targets hit in Iran. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-06 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-12g7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-12g7",
  "proposition": "Stationing Russian tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus does not violate Russia's non-proliferation obligations.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-1ftk",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-1ftk",
  "proposition": "Iran requested a meeting with US officials in Doha.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-1gbj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-1gbj",
  "proposition": "The bodies seen in Bucha appeared only after Russian forces left the town around 30 March 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "contradicted",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "contradicted",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "reason": "In ev-20261027-s1gr, Maxar imagery of 19 March analysed by The New York Times and Maxar and Planet imagery verified by the Centre for Information Resilience show bodies on Yablunska Street while Russian forces held Bucha, and OHCHR documented 73 civilian killings in the town between 4 and 30 March. Events: ev-20261027-s1gr."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-defense-post",
    "url": "https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/04/04/satellite-images-bucha-ukraine/",
    "origin": "Maxar satellite imagery of 19 and 21 Mar 2022, analysed by The New York Times",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2022-04-04T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.centre-for-information-resilience",
    "url": "https://www.info-res.org/eyes-on-russia/reports/disinformation-denial-russias-attempts-to-discredit-open-source-evidence-of-bucha/",
    "origin": "Maxar imagery of 19 Mar and Planet imagery of 21 Mar 2022, verified by CIR",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2022-04-13T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.ohchr-hrmmu",
    "url": "https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2022/12/un-report-details-summary-executions-civilians-russian-troops-northern",
    "origin": "OHCHR thematic report on killings of civilians",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2022-12-07T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-1gsh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-1gsh",
  "proposition": "The US-Iran ceasefire does not cover Lebanon.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-1j6g",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-1j6g",
  "proposition": "Russia would use all means, including nuclear weapons, to defend territory it considers its own.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-1jp7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-1jp7",
  "proposition": "Iran will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed until the United States meets its seven conditions.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-1q4k",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-1q4k",
  "proposition": "Iran's attacks in the Gulf target only US forces.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "contradicted",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "contradicted",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "reason": "UKMTO advisories reported by gCaptain and Al Jazeera in ev-20261027-98gp show the Thai bulk carrier Mayuree Naree was struck in the strait on 11 March, an attack the IRGC itself claimed, and Human Rights Watch in ev-20261027-cd1g reports Iranian forces attacked Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG hub on 18 March; neither was a US force. Events: ev-20261027-98gp, ev-20261027-cd1g."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.gcaptain",
    "url": "https://gcaptain.com/three-crew-missing-from-thai-cargo-ship-hit-in-hormuz/",
    "origin": "UKMTO advisory and Thai navy and Precious Shipping statements",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-03-11T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/five-vessels-attacked-amid-reports-of-iranian-drone-boats-sea-mines",
    "origin": "UKMTO and Joint Maritime Information Center advisories",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-03-12T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.human-rights-watch",
    "url": "https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/03/20/attacks-on-mideast-energy-infrastructure",
    "origin": "Human Rights Watch statement citing QatarEnergy",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-03-20T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2235",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2235",
  "proposition": "Ukraine struck the Moscow Oil Refinery twice in one week in June 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-18",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-18",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-4zfq) holds Ukrainian claims of hitting the Moscow Oil Refinery and Russian officials' counts of drones downed, but no independent source confirming the refinery was hit twice in one week. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-18 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2586",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2586",
  "proposition": "More than 17,000 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in September 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-09-26) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military deaths in September 2023 against which Sergei Shoigu's figure could be checked."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-25kc",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-25kc",
  "proposition": "There were no Ukrainian prisoners of war aboard the Il-76 that crashed in Belgorod region on 24 January 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-02-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx75 records the Russian defence ministry's claim that 65 prisoners were aboard, Ukrainian officials' denials and UN Under-Secretary-General Rosemary DiCarlo's statement that the UN could not verify the reports. No independent evidence in the record shows who was aboard."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2c39",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2c39",
  "proposition": "Iranian strikes heavily damaged Naval Support Activity Bahrain.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2ekx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2ekx",
  "proposition": "The US has struck more than 3,000 targets in Iran and destroyed 43 Iranian warships.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-06",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-06",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record confirms the sinking of the frigate Dena (ev-20261027-jxsk) but holds no independent count of targets struck or of Iranian warships destroyed; both figures rest on US Central Command's word. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-06 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2fhq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2fhq",
  "proposition": "Crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz on 24 June were similar to pre-war levels.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-24",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-24",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Reuters reported shipping data showing about 20 million barrels leaving Hormuz in 24 hours on 24 June, and Bloomberg reported an IEA estimate of UAE exports near 85% of pre-war levels (ev-20261027-7wy5), but the record holds no pre-war Hormuz crude baseline to compare against. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-24 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2fs1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ro-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2fs1",
  "proposition": "The drone that hit a Galati apartment block on 29 May was Russian.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-29",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-29",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-rvw1) holds a single origin, Euronews relaying the Romanian president and NATO's secretary general; no independent examination of the drone that hit Galati is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2k7a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2k7a",
  "proposition": "The 16 April attack killed more than a dozen civilians, including a child, and injured first responders.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-16",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-16",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-6f2w) holds Ukrainian officials' tolls and the UN coordinator's own statement, which cannot count for the UN's claim; no independent count of the 16 April casualties is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2ktf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2ktf",
  "proposition": "US permission for ATACMS strikes inside Russia means a qualitatively new level of US involvement.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2x10",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ye-ansar-allah",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2x10",
  "proposition": "The Houthis will resume attacks on shipping and on Israel.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2xf9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2xf9",
  "proposition": "No ceasefire negotiations between Iran and the US are under way.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-02",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-02",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows messages and proposals passing through Pakistan in early April (ev-20261027-efpv, ev-20261027-rb6n), but only through the parties' statements, and whether that amounts to ceasefire negotiations is not settled independently. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2xv6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2xv6",
  "proposition": "The US president publicly pressed Ukraine to move faster in talks.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2xyn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2xyn",
  "proposition": "Iran can no longer enrich uranium or build ballistic missiles.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-19",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-19",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds later reports of Iran rebuilding a struck site (ev-20261027-vj7b) and a newspaper's account of US intelligence on Iran's missile stocks (ev-20261027-vb7k), but no independent evidence on whether Iran could enrich uranium or build ballistic missiles after 19 March. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-2z0q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-2z0q",
  "proposition": "Iran's armed forces consider named Persian-language media abroad to be military targets.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-37rm",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-37rm",
  "proposition": "The 19 November attack was the sixth large-scale attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure documented by OHCHR in under two months.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-19",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-19",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record confirms the 19 November strike on Ternopil (ev-20261027-pyty), but the count of six large-scale attacks on energy infrastructure in under two months rests on the UN's own statement, and the record holds no independent tally of such attacks. Next check on the ladder from 2025-11-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3j8a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-wagner",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3j8a",
  "proposition": "Ukraine was not preparing an offensive against Russian-held Donbas in February 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-23) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-n5mf records Prigozhin's statement rejecting Moscow's account of a planned Ukrainian offensive, but the record holds no evidence on Ukraine's plans in February 2022."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3jrm",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3jrm",
  "proposition": "The IRGC shot down a US MQ-1 drone over the Strait of Hormuz on 21 September.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-21",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-21",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on a US drone downed over the strait on 21 September; the claim rests only on the IRGC and no US confirmation was published. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-21 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3mbp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3mbp",
  "proposition": "Russia supports a 30-day ceasefire in principle.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3mzz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3mzz",
  "proposition": "Iran will negotiate only after gaining the military upper hand.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3prp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3prp",
  "proposition": "A Russian Shahed-type drone hit the Chornobyl spent fuel storage facility on 7 June 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-07",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-07",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-7qag) holds Ukrainian statements on the drone type and the IAEA's note that Ukraine informed it; no independent source identifies the drone as a Russian Shahed-type. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-07 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3vaq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3vaq",
  "proposition": "Russia prefers a comprehensive settlement to a temporary Easter truce.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3wfk",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3wfk",
  "proposition": "Iran did not request a ceasefire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-01",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-01",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds only the opposing statements of Trump and Iran's foreign ministry, and a Fars source's account of a US ceasefire proposal (ev-20261027-efpv); nothing independent shows who asked whom. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3xah",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3xah",
  "proposition": "The US is in serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime in Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-30",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "The US is negotiating with a new government in Iran.",
    "to": "The US is in serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime in Iran.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-30",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Mojtaba Khamenei became supreme leader on 8 March (ev-20261027-r3qh) and that messages passed through mediators, but whether a 'new regime' was in serious discussions with the US is a characterisation the record does not settle. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-3z47",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-3z47",
  "proposition": "Russian forces killed 3,175 Ukrainian soldiers between 4 and 6 June 2023 while repelling all attacks.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-45qk carries Shoigu's figure of 3,175 Ukrainian dead only as Russia's claim, and Ukraine's deputy defence minister reported advances; the record has no independent count."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-41hp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-41hp",
  "proposition": "Iran did not strike civilian populations during the war.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "contradicted",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "contradicted",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "Times of Israel reporting with Magen David Adom figures in ev-20261027-sdjw shows an Iranian missile struck beside a residential building in Tel Aviv on 28 February, killing a caregiver and injuring 27, and Al Jazeera reporting with AP photographs at the scene in ev-20261027-t5ak shows an Iranian missile killed nine people in Beit Shemesh on 1 March. Events: ev-20261027-sdjw, ev-20261027-t5ak."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/woman-killed-dozens-injured-as-iranian-missile-strikes-tel-aviv-residential-block/",
    "origin": "Times of Israel reporting; Magen David Adom figures",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-03-01T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/at-least-nine-killed-after-iranian-strike-on-israels-beit-shemesh",
    "origin": "Al Jazeera report with AP photographs at the scene; Magen David Adom figures",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-03-01T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-45ty",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ae-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-45ty",
  "proposition": "The drones that hit near Barakah on 17 May were launched from Iraqi territory.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-21",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-21",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows the 17 May drone strike near the Barakah plant (ev-20261027-sbkc, IAEA statement) and Saudi Arabia saying drones entered from Iraqi airspace on 18 May (ev-20261027-rzvs), but the launch point of the Barakah drones rests only on UAE statements; no group claimed the attack and no independent source traced it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-21 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4bkk",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "kr-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4bkk",
  "proposition": "At least 100 North Korean soldiers were killed in Kursk Oblast by mid-December 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-19) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-q3s7 records South Korean intelligence's figure and a separate Ukrainian intelligence figure; both are government claims, and the record holds no independent count of North Korean dead."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4f64",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4f64",
  "proposition": "The US agreed at Burgenstock to oil export waivers, frozen-asset releases and a reconstruction plan for Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "The US Treasury's 22 June general licence authorising Iranian oil production and sale, tied to the talks in Switzerland (The Maritime Executive, ev-20261027-8gtn), and its later revocation (The Guardian, ev-20261027-z1ys) show the oil waiver was granted. No independent source shows agreed frozen-asset releases or a reconstruction plan, and the mediators' joint statement did not list them (ev-20261027-ztpb). Events: ev-20261027-8gtn, ev-20261027-z1ys."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-maritime-executive",
    "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/u-s-treasury-suspends-restrictions-on-iranian-oil-and-tankers-for-60-days",
    "origin": "US Treasury announcement by Scott Bessent",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-06-22T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/08/iran-us-war-ceasefire-peace-agreement-strikes-strait-of-hormuz",
    "origin": "US Treasury statement",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-07-08T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4fzf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4fzf",
  "proposition": "The US will impose tariffs and sanctions on Russia if no deal to end the war is reached soon.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4gwy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4gwy",
  "proposition": "Iran asked the US for a meeting and talks are under way.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-27",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-27",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Iran denied direct talks (ev-20261027-kg0h) and the record holds only Axios reporting of Omani-led mediation; nothing independent shows Iran asked for a meeting or that direct US-Iran meetings took place. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4hkp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4hkp",
  "proposition": "Iran has agreed never to close the Strait of Hormuz again.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-17",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-17",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Araghchi saying the strait was open for the rest of the ceasefire and Iran reimposing strict control the next day (ev-20261027-myrg, ev-20261027-4mjx), but nothing independent shows Iran agreed never to close it again. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-17 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4htx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4htx",
  "proposition": "US strikes on Kharg and Abu Musa were launched from UAE territory.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-14",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-14",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-e9gp and ev-20261027-1983 record Iran's assertion that the strikes came from UAE territory and the UAE's denial; no independent source shows where the aircraft or missiles were launched from. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4qpd",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4qpd",
  "proposition": "Iran will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed to pressure its enemies.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4rb2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4rb2",
  "proposition": "Russia should seek the disappearance of Ukraine or NATO.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4sn0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4sn0",
  "proposition": "Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline will resume flows within days of 15 September 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4x3q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4x3q",
  "proposition": "Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the seven days to 14 July.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Iran attacked seven commercial ships between 7 and 14 July.",
    "to": "Iran attacked seven commercial ships in the seven days to 14 July.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2,
     3,
     4,
     5
    ],
    "reason": "UKMTO, Omani, Indian and UAE government statements reported by The Guardian and Al Jazeera show the GFS Galaxy struck on 11 July (ev-20261027-m7p1), which the IRGC said it fired on, and two UAE tankers hit by missiles on 13 July (ev-20261027-1ctw), which the UAE blamed on Iran and the IRGC said it hit; UKMTO and Bloomberg show three ships struck on 6 July (ev-20261027-zz24). Iran's responsibility for the 6 July strikes and the count of seven rest on US, Saudi and IRGC statements only. Events: ev-20261027-zz24, ev-20261027-m7p1, ev-20261027-1ctw."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/07/qatar-says-iran-fully-responsible-after-tankers-struck-in-strait-of-hormuz",
    "origin": "UKMTO incident report",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-07-07T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.gcaptain",
    "url": "https://gcaptain.com/qatari-lng-ship-struck-in-strait-of-hormuz-testing-us-talks/",
    "origin": "Bloomberg reporting citing people familiar with the matter and EOS Risk Group",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2026-07-07T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en",
    "excerpt": "A laden liquefied natural gas carrier was hit by a projectile near the Omani coast as it exited the Strait of Hormuz."
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/12/us-and-iran-exchange-strikes-as-tehran-again-says-strait-of-hormuz-is-closed",
    "origin": "UKMTO incident report and Indian government statement",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-07-12T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en",
    "excerpt": "The vessel was struck, disabled and its crew forced to take to lifeboats"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/jul/12/iran-gulf-us-strikes-jordan-qatar-uae-strait-hormuz-latest-news-updates-live",
    "origin": "Omani authorities statement",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2026-07-12T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/13/us-launches-third-night-of-strikes-on-iran-as-trump-announces-hormuz-blockade",
    "origin": "UAE government statement",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-07-13T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en",
    "excerpt": "killing one Indian crew member and wounding eight others, including four seriously"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/13/missile-strikes-and-attacks-on-ships-reported-around-strait-of-hormuz",
    "origin": "UAE ministry of defence, Indian foreign ministry and UKMTO statements",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-07-13T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4x4w",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4x4w",
  "proposition": "US strikes on Iranian civilian infrastructure violate the UN Charter.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4y4m",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4y4m",
  "proposition": "Iran did not carry out the drone strike at Damietta.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-10-31",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-10-31",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Ambrey, Vanguard and Egypt's cabinet confirm a drone struck the Energos Winter at Damietta on 29 July (ev-20261027-bwcp), but no one claimed it and no independent source has named who launched the drone. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-4yvy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-4yvy",
  "proposition": "The United States shares responsibility for the 23 June 2024 missile strike on Sevastopol.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-57jd",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-57jd",
  "proposition": "Russian forces had lost about 430,740 personnel, killed and wounded together, by 17 March 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-03-17) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Russian killed and wounded to March 2024 that matches the scope of the General Staff's figure."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5f6a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5f6a",
  "proposition": "The US will destroy one Iranian bridge or power plant for every Iranian attack on a ship.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5h83",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5h83",
  "proposition": "The Russian state was not responsible for Alexei Navalny's death.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5hj7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-wagner",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5hj7",
  "proposition": "No soldier on the ground was killed during Wagner's march toward Moscow.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-26) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-2k67 records the march and reports that Wagner forces shot down aircraft and killed pilots, but carries those as compiled reports, and the record has no independent account of deaths on the ground during the march."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5kbw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5kbw",
  "proposition": "Reopening of the strait depends on Iranian conditions, not on the talks with Oman.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5mdy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5mdy",
  "proposition": "Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum gives Iran control of transit through the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5vrw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5vrw",
  "proposition": "Iranian drones and a missile struck a US-contracted vessel carrying American personnel near the Strait of Hormuz in the week of 14 September.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-16",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-16",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on an attack on a US-contracted vessel near the strait in mid-September; the report rests on two unnamed sources quoted by Fox News, which gCaptain could not confirm. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-5y75",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-5y75",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's armed forces lost almost 1,000,000 personnel (killed and wounded) between February 2022 and 16 December 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-16) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military killed and wounded to December 2024 that matches the scope of Andrei Belousov's figure."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-60yn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-wagner",
  "statement": "st-20261027-60yn",
  "proposition": "Russia's defence ministry withheld ammunition from Wagner forces at Bakhmut in March 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-03-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-tzsz and ev-20261027-fb6s carry Prigozhin's complaints of withheld ammunition only as his statements, and Ukraine's military disputed the shortage; the record has no independent evidence on deliveries to Wagner."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-62qq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-62qq",
  "proposition": "Russia agreed to accept security guarantees for Ukraine.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-08-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record (ev-20261027-x56y) holds only Donald Trump's own account of what Vladimir Putin agreed; the Kremlin did not confirm the reported concession, and no independent source shows Russia accepting security guarantees for Ukraine."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-65gn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-65gn",
  "proposition": "Iran and Oman have agreed how to divide the Strait of Hormuz and its revenues.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-26",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-26",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds an Oman-Iran joint statement of 25 August on a phased framework for a joint corridor and mine clearance (ev-20261027-peyc), but nothing showing an agreement on shares of the strait or its revenues. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6db6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6db6",
  "proposition": "The 28-point peace proposal was authored by the United States.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-22",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-22",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. CBS News and AFP reporting in ev-20261027-9gtg show the United States presented the 28-point plan to Ukraine, but the record also notes it was reportedly developed after US and Kremlin envoys met, and nothing in it independently shows who wrote the text. Next check on the ladder from 2025-11-22 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6ehp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "lb-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6ehp",
  "proposition": "Lebanon's government has banned Hezbollah's military activities.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6ggy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6ggy",
  "proposition": "The US-Iran deal is a wall against an Iranian nuclear weapon.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6gwx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6gwx",
  "proposition": "Russia sought the Christmas ceasefire to halt Ukrainian advances in Donbas and bring in equipment and personnel.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6k10",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6k10",
  "proposition": "Mojtaba Khamenei is likely alive but very seriously wounded, with injuries to the left side of his body.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-26",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Mojtaba Khamenei is alive but seriously wounded.",
    "to": "Mojtaba Khamenei is likely alive but very seriously wounded, with injuries to the left side of his body.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-26",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent information on Mojtaba Khamenei's health; events note only that he has not appeared in public since succeeding his father. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6my0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6my0",
  "proposition": "The United States will not strike Iran before 3 November 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6t5t",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6t5t",
  "proposition": "Iran is seeking $12 billion to $24 billion in frozen assets as part of a ceasefire deal.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6tk4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6tk4",
  "proposition": "Iran directed the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia in October 2026.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6w5m",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6w5m",
  "proposition": "Talks between Iran and the US had produced no tangible progress as of 4 June.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6xbt",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6xbt",
  "proposition": "Iran will respond decisively to the new US economic measures.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6y8a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6y8a",
  "proposition": "Ukraine was preparing to detonate a radiological dirty bomb in October 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-10-23) with nothing in the record to settle it. No event in the record covers the dirty bomb allegation or the IAEA's November 2022 inspections; the IAEA finding is cited only in the statement's text."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-6yyg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-6yyg",
  "proposition": "The gathering struck at Hroza on 5 October 2023 was a legitimate military target.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-700k",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "lb-hezbollah",
  "statement": "st-20261027-700k",
  "proposition": "Hezbollah will not accept a return to the situation before 2 March.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-72p7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-72p7",
  "proposition": "15 million barrels of oil exited the Strait of Hormuz on the night of 2-3 September.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-03",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no independent ship-tracking or barrel data for the night of 2 to 3 September; the 15 million barrel figure rests only on the vice president. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-03 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-72q3",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-72q3",
  "proposition": "About 18 million barrels of oil flowed out of the Gulf on 15 September.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-16",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "About 18 million barrels of oil flowed out of the Gulf on 15 September, roughly pre-war levels.",
    "to": "About 18 million barrels of oil flowed out of the Gulf on 15 September.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-16",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Reuters, citing preliminary shipping data in ev-20261028-v08p, counted only four transits through the strait on 15 September with no very large crude carriers, which sits badly with 18 million barrels, but Reuters noted some ships cross with transponders off and a single data origin does not settle it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-73p1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-73p1",
  "proposition": "Russia used at least one North Korean-made missile in the 13 December 2024 strike.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-13) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-tf46 records President Zelensky's statement only; the record holds no independent identification of a North Korean missile in the 13 December attack."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7664",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7664",
  "proposition": "The Zaporizhzhia plant cannot be safely restarted under current conditions.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-76fy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-76fy",
  "proposition": "The US will not unfreeze Iranian assets before a deal is signed.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7bmb",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7bmb",
  "proposition": "Ukrainian special services organised the 8 October 2022 Crimean Bridge explosion.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-10-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-6cpe records Russia's accusation and a July 2023 statement by SBU head Vasyl Maliuk claiming responsibility, but the record carries both as party statements and holds no independent investigation of the 8 October blast."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7d96",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7d96",
  "proposition": "Russia will agree to a Putin-Zelensky meeting only to sign an already agreed settlement.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7e9q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ae-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7e9q",
  "proposition": "The UAE did not allow attacks on Iran to be launched from its territory.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-14",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-14",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds the UAE's denial and Iran's opposing assertion (ev-20261027-e9gp, ev-20261027-1983), but no independent evidence of where strikes on Iran were launched from. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7emf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "xx-iea",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7emf",
  "proposition": "The disruption is the largest energy supply crisis on record.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7m0f",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7m0f",
  "proposition": "More than 1,348 civilians had been killed and over 17,000 injured in Iran between 28 February and 11 March.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7vxx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7vxx",
  "proposition": "About 11,000 North Korean infantry were training in Russia in October 2024 for use against Ukraine.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-10-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kgy7 records Kyrylo Budanov's figure alongside South Korean intelligence's figure of more than 3,000 troops in Russia. Both are government statements, and the record holds no independent count of North Korean troops in training in October 2024."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7xc8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7xc8",
  "proposition": "The IRGC Quds Force runs an increased weapons smuggling effort from Syria to Hezbollah.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on weapons smuggling from Syria to Hezbollah, or on the Quds Force running it, in this period; the claim rests only on Israeli security officials quoted by Channel 12. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7xp4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7xp4",
  "proposition": "The US has total control of the Strait of Hormuz region.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-7ydr",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-7ydr",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's leadership expressed no gratitude for US efforts.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-806b",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-806b",
  "proposition": "Russia reached an understanding with the United States on Ukraine at the Alaska summit.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-831g",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-831g",
  "proposition": "Those who organised the Wagner rebellion will be punished.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-86b5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-86b5",
  "proposition": "Okhmatdyt children's hospital was most likely directly hit by a Russian Kh-101 missile.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-07-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-ac0x records the UN monitoring mission's own assessment of a likely direct Kh-101 hit and the SBU's statement on missile fragments; Russia's UN envoy disputed it. Apart from the UN's own finding and the Ukrainian security service, the record holds no independent evidence on the weapon."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-874f",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-874f",
  "proposition": "All Ukrainian forces have been expelled from Russia's Kursk region as of 26 April 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-04-26) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx24 records Valery Gerasimov's report and a Ukrainian commander's statement to CNN that fighting continued; the only other account is an ISW assessment, which is analysis. No independent evidence in the record shows whether any Ukrainian forces remained."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-88by",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "fr-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-88by",
  "proposition": "Sending Western troops to Ukraine cannot be ruled out.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8f0f",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8f0f",
  "proposition": "Russia ordered a pause in fighting from 4 p.m. on 11 April to the end of 12 April.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8j0e",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8j0e",
  "proposition": "At least 20 seafarers or port workers have been killed in 68 maritime incidents in and near the Gulf since February.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-25",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-25",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record's only counts of seafarer deaths are the IMO's own (ev-20261027-0ev8 gives 70 incidents and 19 seafarer deaths as of 26 August; ev-20261027-dfjw gives 22 by 15 September), so they cannot count for the IMO's claim, and no independent tally matches its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-25 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8ny9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8ny9",
  "proposition": "The US is open to negotiations with Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8v8g",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8v8g",
  "proposition": "Russia's strategic nuclear forces were in a state of full readiness for use as of 29 February 2024.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8x69",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8x69",
  "proposition": "About 700,000 Russian soldiers had been killed in the war by late July 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-10-31",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-10-31",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Ukraine's figure for Russia's dead; the record holds no independent count of Russian military deaths matching its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8x95",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8x95",
  "proposition": "The Strait of Hormuz will open to marine traffic on Tuesday 4 August.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8ybf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8ybf",
  "proposition": "Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows an IRGC adviser declaring the strait closed on 2 March (ev-20261027-57h0), traffic falling below a tenth of prewar levels (ev-20261027-thyf) and an IRGC vetting system for transits (ev-20261027-a94a); whether that is a closure or the 'control' the commander described turns on wording, and the record does not settle it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-8zkh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-8zkh",
  "proposition": "The US will impose further sanctions on Russia if it does not agree to a ceasefire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-90rg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-90rg",
  "proposition": "Ukraine resumed strikes on Russian oil refineries on 15 October after a three-day pause.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-962z",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-962z",
  "proposition": "Russia demands demilitarisation and denazification of territory controlled by Kyiv as a condition for ending the war.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-97nz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-97nz",
  "proposition": "Russian forces had taken full control of Bakhmut by 21 May 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "The proposition overstates the statement: Zelensky described Bakhmut as destroyed, and his spokesman said he had not confirmed the city's capture. The claimant made no claim of the kind recorded."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "The proposition overstates the statement: Zelensky described Bakhmut as destroyed, and his spokesman said he had not confirmed the city's capture. The claimant made no claim of the kind recorded."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-97y8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "xx-iaea",
  "statement": "st-20261027-97y8",
  "proposition": "There are indications of movement around construction at the Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-10",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "There is construction activity at the Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz.",
    "to": "There are indications of movement around construction at the Pickaxe Mountain site near Natanz.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-10",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on Pickaxe Mountain; the claim rests only on the IAEA director general, who said the agency lacked concrete information. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-10 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-98ar",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-98ar",
  "proposition": "The main objectives of the first stage of Russia's operation in Ukraine had been accomplished by 25 March 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-98m9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "pl-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-98m9",
  "proposition": "The drone that exploded near Osiny on 20 August 2025 was a Russian military drone.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-08-20) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record (ev-20261027-a2v2) holds a single origin: Euronews relaying Polish police, PAP and the defence minister, the claimant's own side. No independent examination of the wreckage is in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-99cm",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-99cm",
  "proposition": "About 40% of damaged South Pars capacity is back in production.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-27",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-27",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on South Pars repairs or output after the war damage; the 40 percent figure rests only on Iran's deputy oil minister. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-99jv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-99jv",
  "proposition": "The US does not treat Iran's seizure of non-US, non-Israeli ships as a ceasefire violation.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9fat",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9fat",
  "proposition": "Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire on 9 to 11 May and a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9fyx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9fyx",
  "proposition": "The Islamabad memorandum of understanding has been signed by both presidents and is in effect.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "reason": "Keystone-SDA reporting carried by Swissinfo and the White House confirmation in ev-20261027-4d4r show the memorandum signed electronically on 17 June; US Central Command's announcement ending the blockade after the signing (Military Times, ev-20261027-25v1) and the US Treasury's oil licence tied to the signed framework (The Maritime Executive, ev-20261027-8gtn) show it took effect. Events: ev-20261027-4d4r, ev-20261027-25v1, ev-20261027-8gtn."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.swissinfo",
    "url": "https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/the-iran-us-summit-at-burgenstock-in-the-north-west-has-officially-begun/91624667",
    "origin": "Keystone-SDA report",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2026-06-21T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.military-times",
    "url": "https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-navy/2026/06/18/us-military-lifts-navy-blockade-in-strait-of-hormuz-after-two-months/",
    "origin": "US Central Command announcement",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-maritime-executive",
    "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/u-s-treasury-suspends-restrictions-on-iranian-oil-and-tankers-for-60-days",
    "origin": "US Treasury announcement by Scott Bessent",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-06-22T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9n0b",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9n0b",
  "proposition": "Ukraine had lost about 444,000 soldiers, killed and wounded, by late February 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-02-27) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military killed and wounded to February 2024 that matches the scope of Sergei Shoigu's figure."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9qnc",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9qnc",
  "proposition": "About 31,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been officially recorded as killed by 25 February 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9tzq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9tzq",
  "proposition": "The US-Iran memorandum was signed digitally on 14 June.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows the deal announced on 14 June (ev-20261027-8yfe) and the memorandum signed electronically with presidential signatures on 17 June per Iran's foreign ministry, the White House and Keystone-SDA (ev-20261027-4d4r), with a formal signing still expected on 19 June as of 16 June (ev-20261027-x2fp). Whether negotiators signed digitally on 14 June rests only on US officials. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9vd9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9vd9",
  "proposition": "The US and Iran have held very good and productive conversations, with envoys Witkoff and Kushner holding talks, on resolving the hostilities.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "US envoys held talks with Iranian counterparts on 22 March.",
    "to": "The US and Iran have held very good and productive conversations, with envoys Witkoff and Kushner holding talks, on resolving the hostilities.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-ahwc and ev-20261027-jvq1 record Trump's statement, Iran's denial of talks and Iran's confirmation that it received US messages through friendly countries; nothing independent shows talks were held. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9wfb",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9wfb",
  "proposition": "Ukraine has agreed to an immediate 30-day ceasefire if Russia accepts.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "The US-Ukraine joint statement after the Jeddah talks, reported by the Guardian in ev-20261027-hc1j, says Ukraine was ready to enact an immediate 30-day ceasefire subject to Russian acceptance. The Guardian's own reporting in ev-20261027-a64j describes the full 30-day ceasefire Ukraine had backed and Russia did not accept. Events: ev-20261027-hc1j, ev-20261027-a64j."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/12/ukraine-ceasefire-whats-in-the-proposed-deal-and-whats-not",
    "origin": "US-Ukraine joint statement after Jeddah talks, 11 Mar",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2025-03-12T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/19/russia-attacks-ukraine-hours-after-partial-ceasefire-agreed-putin-trump-call",
    "origin": "Guardian reporting from Kyiv and Washington",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2025-03-19T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-9ypa",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-9ypa",
  "proposition": "Russian forces deliberately destroyed the Kakhovka dam on 6 June 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-bcqk, NORSAR seismic data reported by NBC shows an explosion at the dam early on 6 June, but it does not show who caused it, and the record holds only the two sides' accusations on responsibility."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-a1xf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-a1xf",
  "proposition": "Russia lost almost 25,000 killed and wounded in the Tavria sector between 10 October and 20 December 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-12-20) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Russian killed and wounded in the Tavria sector for this period; the figure rests on the Ukrainian spokesman's word."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-a3ex",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-a3ex",
  "proposition": "Using frozen Iranian assets to pay ship damage would be unlawful.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-a9qx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-a9qx",
  "proposition": "Iran has been militarily defeated and is in a state of collapse.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-aaqq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "gb-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-aaqq",
  "proposition": "The UK allows Ukraine to decide how to use Storm Shadow missiles for defensive purposes, including on Russian territory.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-af05",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-af05",
  "proposition": "Iran will not give up its nuclear and missile capabilities.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-aygy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-aygy",
  "proposition": "The war had reached a stalemate by November 2023.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-b2a6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-b2a6",
  "proposition": "The US blockade has prevented at least $25 billion of Iranian crude exports.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows the blockade cut Iranian crude exports sharply (for example ev-20261027-hqx3) but holds no independent estimate of the value of exports prevented; the 25 billion dollar figure rests only on CENTCOM. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-b2m7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-b2m7",
  "proposition": "Hand grenade fragments were found in the bodies of the Prigozhin crash victims and nothing struck the plane from outside.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-10-05) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-rr6j records the crash and that Russian investigators had not established its cause; the record holds no independent forensic findings on grenade fragments or an external impact."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-b2yb",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-b2yb",
  "proposition": "The Kremlin did not order the downing of Prigozhin's plane.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "checkable",
    "from": false,
    "to": true,
    "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-08-25) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-rr6j records Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov's denial and a preliminary US intelligence assessment, reported by Al Jazeera, that an intentional explosion caused the crash. No independent evidence in the record shows who caused the crash."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-b4xn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-b4xn",
  "proposition": "Iran will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed while the US blockade continues.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-b7b4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "pk-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-b7b4",
  "proposition": "A US-Iran deal will be signed within 24 hours of 13 June.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bcdj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bcdj",
  "proposition": "Iran will strike US-linked energy infrastructure across the Gulf if its own energy facilities are attacked.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bcma",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bcma",
  "proposition": "Iranian strikes destroyed 17 US drones and 11 US manned aircraft on the ground.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-25",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-25",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is the IRGC's figure for US aircraft losses at unnamed bases; the record holds no independent count or imagery of US aircraft destroyed on the ground in this period. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-25 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bdtt",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bdtt",
  "proposition": "Iran's air force has been destroyed.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-30",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-30",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Israeli and US accounts of strikes on Iranian aircraft (ev-20261027-6qe3) but no independent assessment of the state of Iran's air force. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bhaz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bhaz",
  "proposition": "US forces have destroyed about 92 percent of Iran's large naval vessels.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-26",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-26",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US figures for Iranian naval losses but no independent count of Iran's large naval vessels or of how many were destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bj94",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bj94",
  "proposition": "About 6,000 targets have been struck in Iran and more than 90 Iranian vessels damaged or destroyed.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-12",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-12",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US claims of strikes on Iranian vessels (ev-20261027-w2eb) but no independent count of targets struck or of Iranian vessels damaged or destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bp52",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "hu-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bp52",
  "proposition": "The August 2025 Druzhba strikes nearly forced Hungary to draw on its strategic oil reserves.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bq5v",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bq5v",
  "proposition": "The Moskva sank after a fire detonated ammunition on board and the ship lost stability in a storm while being towed to port.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "The Moskva sank because of an onboard fire and a storm, not because it was hit by Ukrainian missiles.",
    "to": "The Moskva sank after a fire detonated ammunition on board and the ship lost stability in a storm while being towed to port.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-04-14) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-zdgv records Russia's account of a fire and a storm, Ukraine's statement that two Neptune missiles hit the ship, and a US senior defence official's assessment that they did; the only non-party origin is that one US briefing, so the record does not settle the cause."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-btjq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-btjq",
  "proposition": "No US-Iran talks are under way.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-19",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-19",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Pakistani-mediated contacts with Iran in late August (ev-20261027-jkax) and no independent reporting on whether US-Iran talks were under way on 18-19 August. Nothing in the record shows talks then, or rules them out. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-bzej",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-bzej",
  "proposition": "Ukraine will not accept a peace that requires ceding territory.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-c06a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-c06a",
  "proposition": "The UAE took a direct part in military action against Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds a Wall Street Journal report, citing people familiar with the matter, that the UAE secretly struck Iran including the Lavan Island refinery (ev-20261027-1cfa, ev-20261027-5xc1); the UAE declined to comment. That is a single unaffiliated origin, so the record does not settle whether the UAE took a direct part. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-c1ze",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-c1ze",
  "proposition": "Iran would reopen the strait within seven days if the US lifted its blockade.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-c489",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-c489",
  "proposition": "Iran remains open to a negotiated settlement with the US.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-c5nx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-c5nx",
  "proposition": "Iran violated the memorandum by attacking the Ever Lovely.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-27",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-27",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. UKMTO, Ambrey and Vanguard reporting in ev-20261027-63wa show the Ever Lovely was struck on 25 June, but only US Central Command attributes it to Iran and Iran did not claim it. Whether the attack breached the memorandum is a legal reading this ledger does not judge. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-c6ch",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-c6ch",
  "proposition": "Only NATO military personnel can plot flight missions for Western long-range missiles fired by Ukraine.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-09-12) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent evidence on who plans and programmes the flight missions of Western long-range missiles fired by Ukraine."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-chf2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-chf2",
  "proposition": "Iran agreed to 'a perfect deal' giving up 'everything' shortly before it attacked a ship.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-12",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Iran agreed to a deal giving up its nuclear programme on 11 July.",
    "to": "Iran agreed to 'a perfect deal' giving up 'everything' shortly before it attacked a ship.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-12",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record carries Trump's account (ev-20261027-65jd) and Iran's foreign ministry saying the 11 July Oman talks failed; Iran denied asking for talks (ev-20261027-gktm). No independent source shows Iran agreed any deal that day. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-cjb5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-cjb5",
  "proposition": "Iran's nuclear programme and military have been destroyed.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "contradicted",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "contradicted",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2,
     3
    ],
    "reason": "Kuwaiti and Bahrain Defence Force statements reported by Al Jazeera and Annahar show Iran firing ballistic missiles and drones at Kuwait and Bahrain on 28 June (ev-20261027-s8vf), and Kuwait's defence ministry and Jordan's army, reported by Al Jazeera and CNBC, show further Iranian missile and drone attacks on 15 July (ev-20261027-dz22), so Iran's military was not destroyed. The state of the nuclear programme is not settled by the record. Events: ev-20261027-s8vf, ev-20261027-dz22."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/28/iran-war-day-121-iran-attacks-bahrain-kuwait-as-us-strikes-near-hormuz",
    "origin": "IRGC statement, Kuwaiti statement and US official to Reuters",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-06-28T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.annahar",
    "url": "https://en.annahar.com/en/324935/bahrain-announces-interception-of-iranian-air-strikes-residential-building-damaged-in-muharraq-photos",
    "origin": "Bahrain Defence Force and Interior Ministry statements",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-06-28T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/15/us-resumes-iran-ports-blockade-as-gulf-attacks-continue-whats-the-latest",
    "origin": "Kuwaiti defence ministry statement",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-07-15T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.cnbc",
    "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/14/iran-strikes-hormuz-strait-blockade-trump-tolls.html",
    "origin": "Jordanian army statement",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2026-07-15T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-cnpt",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-cnpt",
  "proposition": "Russian forces had lost about 1,581,840 personnel, killed and wounded together, by 27 October 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-03",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Ukraine's running figure for Russia's personnel losses; the record holds no independent count of Russian killed and wounded matching its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-27 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-cxkg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-cxkg",
  "proposition": "17 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz on 31 August 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-02",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-02",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-qaqd records Wright's 17 million barrel figure, which Reuters did not confirm, and Kpler data showing about 10 commodity vessels crossed on 31 August; vessel counts do not give barrels, and some ships transit with transponders off. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-cy6t",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-cy6t",
  "proposition": "The US is preparing, with regional backing, to resume military action against Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-d7ka",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-d7ka",
  "proposition": "Putin agreed to stop striking Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities for a week from late January 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "Novaya Gazeta Europe reporting in ev-20261027-8833 shows Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed Trump's request to refrain from striking Kyiv until 1 February, and the Kyiv Independent reported President Zelensky saying the pause took effect on 30 January. The record shows a pause on Kyiv only, ending 1 February, not one covering other cities for a full week. Events: ev-20261027-8833."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.novaya-gazeta-europe",
    "url": "https://novayagazeta.eu/en/articles/2026/01/30/russia-to-temporarily-stop-attacking-ukrainian-energy-facilities-trump-says-en-news",
    "origin": "Trump remarks, 29 Jan, and Kremlin spokesman Peskov, 30 Jan",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-01-30T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.kyiv-independent",
    "url": "https://kyivindependent.com/peace-talks-set-to-resume-in-abu-dhabi-day-after-largest-russian-strike-on-ukraine-this-winter/",
    "origin": "President Zelensky statement on the energy truce start date",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2026-02-04T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dbka",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dbka",
  "proposition": "US hostilities with Iran had terminated by 1 May 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dgb5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ye-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dgb5",
  "proposition": "2,316 Houthi fighters were killed or wounded in three days of fighting in late September 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-29",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-29",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The figure is a party's count of the other side's losses; the record holds only government and Houthi claims for late September fighting (for example ev-20261027-wjpv) and no independent count. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dnqg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dnqg",
  "proposition": "Israel's strikes stopped Iran from threatening the world with nuclear weapons.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dpj8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dpj8",
  "proposition": "Ukrainian drones struck 41 Russian military aircraft on 1 June 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0
    ],
    "reason": "Capella Space radar imagery supplied to Reuters and analysed by a James Martin Center researcher, reported by the Guardian in ev-20261027-h633, shows at least two destroyed Tu-22 bombers at Belaya after the 1 June drone attack. The figure of 41 aircraft rests on the SBU's own statement, and the Guardian noted the full extent of the damage remained unclear. Events: ev-20261027-h633."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-guardian",
    "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/04/ukraine-war-briefing-satellite-pictures-show-russian-warplanes-prey-to-spiderweb",
    "origin": "Capella Space radar imagery supplied to Reuters, analysed by James Martin Center researcher",
    "role": "visual",
    "published_at": "2025-06-04T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dv1v",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dv1v",
  "proposition": "Iran is not holding talks with the United States.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Iran is not negotiating with the US; an Iran-Oman route deal will not reopen the strait.",
    "to": "Iran is not holding talks with the United States.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-03",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. A senior Middle East diplomat told MS NOW the US and Europe were pressing Oman over a draft arrangement, US officials said they were in talks with Iran and an Iranian official said Iran negotiated only with Oman (ev-20261027-jpy4). The record does not settle whether US-Iran talks, direct or indirect, were held. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-03 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dvxj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dvxj",
  "proposition": "The war against Iran has been militarily won.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dyar",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dyar",
  "proposition": "Prisoner exchanges stopped after August 2023 because Russia declined to continue them.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-11-30) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-5vck, reported by Babel, shows no exchange took place between 7 August 2023 and January 2024, and ev-20261027-ep0n records the resumption on 3 January. The record does not show which side halted the exchanges or why."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-dyww",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-dyww",
  "proposition": "Iran has not sought a ceasefire or negotiations with the US.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Araghchi's interview (ev-20261027-jk7h) and later reports of messages passed through mediators (ev-20261027-jvq1), but no independent evidence that Iran asked for a ceasefire or talks before 15 March. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-e0hx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-e0hx",
  "proposition": "The United States offered Ukraine a 15-year security guarantee as part of a peace deal.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-14",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-14",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The 15-year term rests on Zelensky's own statements (ev-20261027-7jmz); the record holds no US statement or independent report of the offer's length. Next check on the ladder from 2026-02-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-e4k1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-e4k1",
  "proposition": "The strait will stay closed until the US meets the council's six conditions.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-e7p6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-idf",
  "statement": "st-20261027-e7p6",
  "proposition": "The 401st Brigade destroyed 1,200 Hezbollah structures and killed more than 60 operatives in eight months.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-02",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-02",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. These are IDF figures for Hezbollah losses and structures destroyed over eight months; the record holds no independent count matching that scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-eb09",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-eb09",
  "proposition": "Iran is in a position of strength and should end the war now.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-eegj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-eegj",
  "proposition": "Ukraine deliberately sabotaged the Kakhovka dam on 6 June 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-06) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-bcqk, NORSAR seismic data reported by NBC shows an explosion at the dam early on 6 June, but it does not show who caused it, and the record holds only the two sides' accusations on responsibility."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-epgc",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-epgc",
  "proposition": "Ukraine will not accept any arrangement that leaves Donbas under Russian control.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-f0bh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-f0bh",
  "proposition": "The June memorandum gives Iran the right to set routes through the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-f141",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-f141",
  "proposition": "12.5 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz overnight into 18 June, the highest since the war began.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-18",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-18",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no independent shipping-data figure for the night into 18 June; the nearest is Reuters reporting about 20 million barrels leaving Hormuz in 24 hours on 24 June (ev-20261027-7wy5), which does not bear on whether 18 June was the highest to that date. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-18 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-f631",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-f631",
  "proposition": "Russia would drastically reduce military activity near Kyiv and Chernihiv after 29 March 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-f8pv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-f8pv",
  "proposition": "The commander of Russia's Black Sea Fleet was killed in the 22 September 2023 strike on its headquarters.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-09-25) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-7had records the Ukrainian special operations forces claim and a Russian defence ministry video of Admiral Viktor Sokolov at a meeting the next day. Both come from the parties, and the record holds no independent confirmation either way."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-fbwe",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-fbwe",
  "proposition": "The commitments to Russia under the July 2022 grain arrangements had not been carried out.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-fbx5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-fbx5",
  "proposition": "Iran did not accept US terms at the Islamabad talks, which required an affirmative commitment that Iran would not seek a nuclear weapon.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-12",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Iran refused to commit not to seek a nuclear weapon.",
    "to": "Iran did not accept US terms at the Islamabad talks, which required an affirmative commitment that Iran would not seek a nuclear weapon.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "checkable",
    "from": false,
    "to": true,
    "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-12",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-yn0f records the Islamabad talks ending without a deal, but only through Vance, Iranian officials and Pakistan's foreign minister as relayed by Al Jazeera; nothing independent shows what Iran declined to commit to. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-fcs1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "lb-hezbollah",
  "statement": "st-20261027-fcs1",
  "proposition": "Hezbollah carried out no attacks between the 14 June deal announcement and 15 June.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Reuters reported on 15 June that an Israeli drone strike was the first deadly attack in Lebanon since the deal (ev-20261027-7n7n), and the record has no Hezbollah attack logged for 14 to 15 June after the announcement, but the IDF strike on Beirut on 14 June followed Hezbollah drone fire whose timing relative to the announcement is not fixed (ev-20261027-r5za). Absence of a report does not settle it. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-fhzr",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-khatam-hq",
  "statement": "st-20261027-fhzr",
  "proposition": "Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz to shipping.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ft34",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ft34",
  "proposition": "Iran has offered the US a plan to reopen the strait within seven days.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-fyak",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-fyak",
  "proposition": "Ukrainian forces controlled 1,150 square km and 82 settlements in Kursk Oblast as of 15 August 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-08-15) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-s1vy records Oleksandr Syrskyi's figures only as his claim; the record holds no independent measure of the area or settlements held."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-fyh5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-fyh5",
  "proposition": "The US will strike Iran's power plants and bridges the following week unless Iran negotiates.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-g2g6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-g2g6",
  "proposition": "Gulf states should treat the US and Israel, not Iran, as their enemy.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-g5a4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-g5a4",
  "proposition": "Iran received US messages signalling openness to new talks.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-16",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "checkable",
    "from": false,
    "to": true,
    "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-16",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Pakistan acting as the channel for messages between Washington and Tehran in mid May (ev-20261027-sy6k) and Iran replying to a US proposal on 18 May by its own account (ev-20261027-g3ne), but nothing independent shows the content of US messages or that they signalled openness to new talks. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-16 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gart",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gart",
  "proposition": "Residents of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia freely chose to join Russia in September 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gcgs",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gcgs",
  "proposition": "The United States had effectively become a party to the war by December 2022.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gevw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-idf",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gevw",
  "proposition": "More than 1,000 Hezbollah members were killed between 2 March and early April 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-05",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-05",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Lebanon's health ministry toll of all dead, which does not separate Hezbollah members, and no independent count of Hezbollah fighters killed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-05 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gjb1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gjb1",
  "proposition": "Russia would respond systematically to Ukrainian strikes on St Petersburg.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gpe6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gpe6",
  "proposition": "An intercepted call shows Russian personnel blew up the Kakhovka dam.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. No event in the record carries the SBU's intercepted call, and NBC said it could not verify the recording; the record's dam event, ev-20261027-bcqk, does not establish who destroyed the dam."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gpy5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "pk-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gpy5",
  "proposition": "The ceasefire covers Lebanon.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gs0a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gs0a",
  "proposition": "Vladimir Putin is responsible for Alexei Navalny's death.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-gvv3",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-gvv3",
  "proposition": "Ukrainian forces still held the northern part of Pokrovsk on 2 December 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-02",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-02",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-zzrz) holds only the Russian announcement and the Ukrainian General Staff's reply; no independent source shows who held the northern part of Pokrovsk on 2 December 2025. Next check on the ladder from 2025-12-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-h0sh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-h0sh",
  "proposition": "Russia's July strikes on Odesa were retaliation for the Crimean Bridge attack.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-h43k",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-h43k",
  "proposition": "More than 1,300 civilians had been killed in Iran by 11 March.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-h5cy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-h5cy",
  "proposition": "US military operations caused the recent oil pollution in Gulf waters.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-17",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-17",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds satellite-tracked slicks from the grounded Caroline Bezengi off Oman (ev-20261027-9cam) and Greenpeace's later count of spills in the strait (ev-20261027-tqa3), but nothing tracing the slick that reached Qeshm to US military operations. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-17 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-he27",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-he27",
  "proposition": "The United States knew nothing about Israel's strike on South Pars.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-19",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-19",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-93n7 records Trump's statement and an unnamed Pentagon official's contrary account carried by The National; neither is independent, and nothing else in the record shows what the US knew. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hekr",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hekr",
  "proposition": "Iran exercises sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hgwb",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hgwb",
  "proposition": "The 17 June memorandum gives Iran sole responsibility for arranging passage through the strait.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hkg3",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hkg3",
  "proposition": "Bakhmut had been reduced to ruins by Russian forces by December 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-12-10) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-dead carries Zelenskyy's description of Bakhmut as burned ruins only as his statement, and ev-20261027-znr1 records Al Jazeera's reporting on the fall in Bakhmut's population but not the extent of destruction by December 2022."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hkmz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-idf",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hkmz",
  "proposition": "Israel has carried out about 7,600 strikes in Iran and 1,100 in Lebanon since 28 February.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-13",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-13",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent count of Israeli strikes in Iran or Lebanon since 28 February that matches these figures. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hrrs",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hrrs",
  "proposition": "Zelensky's approval rating is 4 per cent.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2025-02-19) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no event carrying an opinion poll on President Zelensky's approval in February 2025."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hs5r",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-khatam-hq",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hs5r",
  "proposition": "Iran will not allow the Strait of Hormuz to return to pre-war free passage.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hvqw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hvqw",
  "proposition": "Iran is targeting US bases in neighbouring states because it cannot reach US territory.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hvry",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hvry",
  "proposition": "The framework lets Israel keep a security zone in southern Lebanon until Hezbollah is disarmed.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-hwse",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-hwse",
  "proposition": "Russia's 29 December 2023 strikes on Ukraine targeted only military infrastructure.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-12-30) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-b9k0 records AP reporting, UN humanitarian coordinator Denise Brown and the UN monitoring mission showing homes, schools, a maternity ward and a metro station were damaged and 90 civilians killed from 29 December. The record does not show what each strike was aimed at, and most missiles were reported shot down, so it does not settle what was targeted."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-j2yz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "sa-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-j2yz",
  "proposition": "Saudi territory has not been used to launch attacks on Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-09",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-09",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent evidence on whether Saudi territory or airspace was used for attacks on Iran. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-09 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-j8ea",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-j8ea",
  "proposition": "An IRGC strike on a US base in Jordan on 1 September 2026 killed a large number of US troops.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-01",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-01",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-gt9k records the IRGC claim alongside Jordan's army reporting no casualties and two US officials telling Reuters initial assessments found none, but those are party sources; the record has no independent count of US deaths from the 1 September attack. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jby4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jby4",
  "proposition": "The US Navy has cleared mines from the main Hormuz shipping lane.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-25",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-25",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-xgkv records CENTCOM's statement that mines were cleared from the traffic separation scheme, against Bloomberg sources saying not all mines Iran laid were cleared and a JMIC warning that drifting mines remain a risk; neither settles whether the main lane itself was cleared. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-25 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jf71",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jf71",
  "proposition": "Russia would order an immediate ceasefire if Ukraine withdrew from the four regions and renounced NATO membership.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jfej",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jfej",
  "proposition": "Iranian forces have pushed US forces out of the waters off southern Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-28",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-28",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds CENTCOM statements on US operations in the Gulf of Oman and around the strait in October (ev-20261027-ek8x, ev-20261027-2fph), all from the US side; no independent reporting shows where US naval forces were after 28 September. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-28 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jfgp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jfgp",
  "proposition": "Iran's army will pay about $30,000 for killing or capturing a US service member.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jfxq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jfxq",
  "proposition": "The US can sustain the naval blockade of Iran indefinitely.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jj9a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-khatam-hq",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jj9a",
  "proposition": "Iran will answer every further US attack with a devastating response.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jpe7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jpe7",
  "proposition": "Civilian casualties in Yemen are rising as Houthi-government fighting escalates.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "reason": "Medical sources speaking to AFP show the fiercest Houthi-government clashes in years from early July (ev-20261027-gmnm) and civilians killed in Houthi attacks on Mokha on 9 August (ev-20261027-17q2), and the Mokha port director told Reuters seven were killed in recent strikes (ev-20261027-v9ze). The record has no civilian casualty series to show the toll's trend. Events: ev-20261027-gmnm, ev-20261027-17q2, ev-20261027-v9ze."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/5/at-least-15-yemeni-government-troops-killed-in-hodeidah-fighting",
    "origin": "Medical sources and military officials speaking to AFP",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-07-05T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-new-arab",
    "url": "https://www.newarab.com/news/least-11-killed-houthi-strikes-yemens-mokha",
    "origin": "Medical source in Mokha speaking to AFP",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-08-09T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/yemens-mocha-port-halts-operations-after-houthi-attacks-port-director-says/",
    "origin": "Mokha port director news conference, reported by Reuters",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-08-15T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jr8a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jr8a",
  "proposition": "Iran's oil storage has not reached capacity under the US blockade.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-30",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-30",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds the opposing statements of Bessent and Ghalibaf but no independent data on Iranian oil storage in late April. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-jxn7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-jxn7",
  "proposition": "The 13 March 2022 strike on Yavoriv killed up to 180 foreign fighters.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-03-13) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-8gf7 records the Yavoriv strike with the Lviv governor's toll of at least 35 killed and Russia's figure of up to 180 foreign fighters, both as party statements; the record has no independent count of who was killed."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-k2gy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-k2gy",
  "proposition": "The war has cost the US about 25 billion dollars in its first 60 days.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-k44j",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-k44j",
  "proposition": "There has been no exchange of fire between US and Iranian forces since 7 April.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-30",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-30",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows a US destroyer firing on the Iranian-flagged cargo ship Touska (ev-20261027-bkdb) and Tasnim saying Iranian drones were launched at US vessels afterwards (ev-20261027-m1nx), but no independent confirmation of fire exchanged between US and Iranian forces between 7 and 30 April. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-k4ph",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-k4ph",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's current government lacks legitimacy and should be replaced by a temporary UN-led administration before elections.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-k4zm",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-k4zm",
  "proposition": "Iran will attack Gulf energy infrastructure if its power plants are struck.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-k57n",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-k57n",
  "proposition": "Russian strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure breach international humanitarian law.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-k7zn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-k7zn",
  "proposition": "Almost 700,000 Russian troops were deployed in the war in Ukraine in June 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-06-14) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent estimate of the number of Russian troops deployed in Ukraine in June 2024."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-kahk",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-kahk",
  "proposition": "Iran has passed three conditions for talks to the US through Qatar and Pakistan.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-19",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-19",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Iran's seven-day proposal delivered through Qatar in late September (ev-20261027-2vm8) but no independent confirmation from Qatar or Pakistan of the three conditions Rezaei described. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-19 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ke23",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ke23",
  "proposition": "Some Ukrainian prisoners named by Russian sources as killed in the Il-76 crash had already been returned to Ukraine in earlier exchanges.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-01-25) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx75 records ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets's statement and the UN's inability to verify the circumstances. The record holds no independent check of the Russian list of names against earlier exchanges."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-kjvf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-kjvf",
  "proposition": "Russia had not yet seriously begun its military effort in Ukraine as of July 2022.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-kk58",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-kk58",
  "proposition": "No Russian missile struck Polish territory on 15 November 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "In ev-20261027-70hv, statements by Poland's foreign ministry and the US president, reported by The War Zone, and by the Polish presidential office, reported by the Kyiv Post, said the missile that hit Przewodow was most likely a Ukrainian air defence interceptor and that a launch from Russia was unlikely. Events: ev-20261027-70hv."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-war-zone",
    "url": "https://www.twz.com/missile-hits-poland-after-crossing-ukraine-border-reports",
    "origin": "Polish foreign ministry and US presidential statements",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2022-11-15T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.kyiv-post",
    "url": "https://www.kyivpost.com/russias-war/zelensky-still-has-doubts-about-missile-that-hit-poland.html",
    "origin": "Polish presidential office statement and Zelenskyy remarks",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2022-11-17T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en",
    "excerpt": "The self-destruct system did not work, and this missile led to a tragedy."
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-krvd",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "xx-nato",
  "statement": "st-20261027-krvd",
  "proposition": "North Korean military units were deployed to Russia's Kursk region by 28 October 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-10-28) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kgy7 records NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's statement, and ev-20261027-fx24 records Kim Jong Un and President Putin confirming the deployment in April 2025. All of these are government statements; the record holds no independent evidence placing North Korean units in Kursk by 28 October 2024."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ks8j",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ks8j",
  "proposition": "The damage to Okhmatdyt children's hospital on 8 July was caused by a Ukrainian air defence missile.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-07-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-ac0x records the UN monitoring mission's assessment that a direct Kh-101 hit was highly likely, though it said it could not be fully certain, and the SBU's account of missile fragments. A single hedged independent finding does not settle the claim either way."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ktae",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ktae",
  "proposition": "Russian forces left Snake Island voluntarily as a goodwill gesture rather than under Ukrainian fire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ktpc",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ktpc",
  "proposition": "Iran is not pursuing nuclear weapons.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-kv7b",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-kv7b",
  "proposition": "Mojtaba Khamenei is wounded and likely disfigured.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-13",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-13",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment (ev-20261027-r3qh) and reports that he was not seen in public for months (ev-20261027-91s7, ev-20261027-y0t2), but no independent account of any wound or disfigurement. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-kw0q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-kw0q",
  "proposition": "More than 30 vessels transited Hormuz in coordination with the IRGC navy in 24 hours.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds IRGC transit counts for other days (ev-20261027-c059) but no independent ship-tracking count for the 24 hours to 23 May. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-m2tp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-m2tp",
  "proposition": "People in Donbas had been subjected to genocide by the Ukrainian government for eight years before February 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-m7z8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-m7z8",
  "proposition": "Tomahawk missiles would not change the battlefield situation in Ukraine.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-macz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-macz",
  "proposition": "The US will strike Iran's power plants and bridges on Tuesday 7 April if the strait is not reopened.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-mf9r",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-khatam-hq",
  "statement": "st-20261027-mf9r",
  "proposition": "No vessel can transit the Strait of Hormuz without Iran's permission.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-mg7h",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-mg7h",
  "proposition": "Russia will seize European vessels if European states seize Russian ships.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-mgvs",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-mgvs",
  "proposition": "Russia struck Dnipro with a new Oreshnik intermediate-range missile in response to Western long-range weapons use.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-11-21) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-x4k9 records the strike on an industrial enterprise in Dnipro, and unnamed US officials, reported by ABC News Australia, said it was an experimental intermediate-range ballistic missile. That is one independent origin, short of the two the standard needs, and Russia's stated reason is not a checkable fact."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-mws1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-mws1",
  "proposition": "Ukrainian forces withdrew from Vuhledar on higher command's order to avoid encirclement.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nb76",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nb76",
  "proposition": "Iran will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed until the US lifts its blockade and sanctions and frees Iranian assets.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nccn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nccn",
  "proposition": "The ceasefire agreement requires Iran to let oil tankers pass Hormuz freely and without fees.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ne65",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ne65",
  "proposition": "There was no evidence that a surface-to-air missile brought down Prigozhin's plane.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nfp0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nfp0",
  "proposition": "Iran will strike regional power plants and US-linked firms if its power plants are hit.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ng5x",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ng5x",
  "proposition": "Russia began a major offensive across Donbas on 18 April 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-04-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-5rcv carries only Zelensky's and the Luhansk governor's announcements that Russia had begun the battle for Donbas; the record has no independent report from April 2022 showing a large offensive began on 18 April."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nj5q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nj5q",
  "proposition": "Israel intends to bring down Iran's government.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-njdg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-njdg",
  "proposition": "Israel is prepared to resume strikes on Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-njvv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-njvv",
  "proposition": "The US will compensate ship damage from frozen Iranian funds.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nmv2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nmv2",
  "proposition": "US hostilities with Iran ended with the April ceasefire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ns1x",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ns1x",
  "proposition": "Iran will not export its enriched uranium.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ntv6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ntv6",
  "proposition": "The US will impose economic penalties on any country that trades with Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nv1f",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nv1f",
  "proposition": "Ukraine launched 91 drones at Putin's Valdai residence on the night of 28 to 29 December 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-29",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-29",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-yjzv) holds Sergei Lavrov's statement and President Zelensky's denial, both party sources; no independent evidence of drones aimed at the Valdai residence is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2025-12-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-nzjy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-nzjy",
  "proposition": "Russian forces lost seven soldiers for every Ukrainian soldier in Bakhmut.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-03-09) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-3wen records Danilov's seven to one ratio and notes it could not be verified; the record has no independent count of either side's dead at Bakhmut."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-p61x",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-p61x",
  "proposition": "Iran will bar enemy military equipment from transiting Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-p8vr",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-p8vr",
  "proposition": "A total of 2,439 Ukrainian fighters surrendered at Azovstal between 16 and 20 May 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-05-20) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-4a0r holds the ICRC's statement that it began registering combatants leaving Azovstal on 17 May, which supports that fighters left and were taken prisoner, but the 2,439 total comes only from Russia's defence ministry and the record has no independent count."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-p94j",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-p94j",
  "proposition": "The Amstor shopping centre in Kremenchuk was not functioning when the 27 June 2022 strike caused a fire there.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-06-28) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-8e34 records the strike on the Amstor shopping centre with a UN spokesperson's condemnation and Ukrainian officials' toll, but no independent account in the record establishes whether the centre was open and trading at the time."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-pb16",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-pb16",
  "proposition": "Iran is not negotiating with the US, directly or indirectly.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-26",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-26",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Axios reporting carried by Al Jazeera said Oman was leading mediation with US envoys involved and had proposed a 10-day ceasefire (ev-20261027-kg0h), while Iran says intermediaries only relay messages. That single origin does not settle whether indirect negotiations were under way. Next check on the ladder from 2026-07-26 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-pb8b",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-pb8b",
  "proposition": "The US is considering further sanctions on Russia.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-pd62",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-pd62",
  "proposition": "The United States will resume large-scale strikes on Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-pdev",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-pdev",
  "proposition": "Ukraine lost 160 tanks and its casualties were ten times Russia's in the first days of the June 2023 counteroffensive.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-06-13) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian tank losses or of either side's casualties in the first days of the June 2023 counteroffensive; Putin's figures stand only as his claim."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-peya",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-peya",
  "proposition": "Iran did not ask the US to halt its planned strikes.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-02",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-02",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record carries Trump's statement that Tehran and Middle Eastern countries asked for a delay and a Channel 12 report of Qatari talks with Iran, the US and Oman (ev-20261027-4azc); nothing independent shows whether Iran itself asked for a halt. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-pqjs",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-pqjs",
  "proposition": "Iran and the US were close to an Islamabad memorandum of understanding.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-psry",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-psry",
  "proposition": "Russia did not intend to target any site in Poland on 10 September 2025.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-q9a5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-q9a5",
  "proposition": "About 50,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the full-scale war.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-q9wv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-q9wv",
  "proposition": "A US-supplied Patriot air defence system was used to shoot down the Il-76 near Belgorod on 24 January 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-01-31) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-fx75 records President Putin's claim and the UN's statement that it could not verify the circumstances of the crash. No independent evidence in the record identifies the weapon."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qakw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qakw",
  "proposition": "Iran will attack US forces that enter the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qbn0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qbn0",
  "proposition": "The US is considering leaving NATO.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qh26",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qh26",
  "proposition": "Putin's 14 June 2024 conditions amount to an ultimatum rather than a peace proposal.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qhaw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qhaw",
  "proposition": "Iran's exports and imports have fallen 25 to 35 percent in recent months.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qkaw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qkaw",
  "proposition": "Almost all Iranian missiles fired at US forces in Jordan were intercepted.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-30",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-30",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-089m records Jordan's army saying it intercepted eight missiles that entered its airspace and a US source saying nearly all were intercepted, but no independent count of how many were fired at US forces and how many got through. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qm0q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qm0q",
  "proposition": "The US will strike Iran hard in response to the Jordan attack.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qm3m",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qm3m",
  "proposition": "The Strait of Hormuz will open only under Iranian arrangements.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qp59",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qp59",
  "proposition": "At least 10,000 homes in Tehran have been damaged or destroyed.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qpe7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qpe7",
  "proposition": "The Strait of Hormuz remains open to ships other than US and Israeli vessels.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qqhz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qqhz",
  "proposition": "Iran collects service fees from ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qvq1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qvq1",
  "proposition": "Russia's 10 October 2022 strikes hit Ukraine's energy, military and communications facilities.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "partly_supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Russia's 10 October 2022 strikes were aimed at energy, military command and communications facilities.",
    "to": "Russia's 10 October 2022 strikes hit Ukraine's energy, military and communications facilities.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "partly_supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "In ev-20261027-qns4, the UN human rights office and a Meduza review of strike sites show the 10 October strikes hit energy and other civilian infrastructure, cutting power and water; neither shows that military or communications facilities were hit. Events: ev-20261027-qns4."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.voice-of-america",
    "url": "https://www.voanews.com/amp/un-russian-missile-attacks-on-ukraine-s-civilian-infrastructure-could-amount-to-war-crimes/6784962.html",
    "origin": "UN human rights office statement of 11 Oct 2022",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2022-10-11T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.meduza",
    "url": "https://meduza.io/en/feature/2022/10/10/the-civilian-deaths-and-destruction-wrought-by-russia-s-high-precision-missile-strikes",
    "origin": "Meduza review of strike sites",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2022-10-10T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-qx7w",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-qx7w",
  "proposition": "The planned US sanctions on Iran will be the toughest in history.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-r2qh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-r2qh",
  "proposition": "Iran will strike Gulf infrastructure if its own power plants are hit.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-r4xh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-r4xh",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's armed forces lost more than 1,500,000 personnel between February 2022 and February 2026, including more than 520,000 in 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-20",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-20",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Russia's figure for Ukraine's losses; the record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military losses matching its scope. Next check on the ladder from 2026-02-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-r7ej",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-r7ej",
  "proposition": "The United States has total control over the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-r7mx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-r7mx",
  "proposition": "US mediation between Russia and Ukraine had stalled by early May 2026.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rd16",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rd16",
  "proposition": "Gulf states hosting US aircraft are facilitating US military operations against Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rdjb",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rdjb",
  "proposition": "The Ukrainian advance into Kursk Oblast was halted by 7 August 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-08-07) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-d769 records General Valery Gerasimov's claim, which the Kyiv Independent said it could not verify. Later events, ev-20261027-1cpr and ev-20261027-s1vy, carry Russian and Ukrainian officials' accounts of further Ukrainian gains, but the record holds no independent reporting on the front line after 7 August."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rjey",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rjey",
  "proposition": "Nearly 249,000 Russian troops were reportedly killed or seriously wounded in January to August 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Nearly 249,000 Russian troops were killed or seriously wounded in January to August 2026.",
    "to": "Nearly 249,000 Russian troops were reportedly killed or seriously wounded in January to August 2026.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Ukraine's figure for Russia's losses; the record holds no independent count of Russian killed and seriously wounded for January to August 2026. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rk9t",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rk9t",
  "proposition": "Russia's revised doctrine treats an attack by a non-nuclear state backed by a nuclear state as a joint attack.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rkws",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rkws",
  "proposition": "Russia's 14 May strike on Kyiv was retaliation for Ukrainian strikes on Russian civilian sites.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rmzh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ro-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rmzh",
  "proposition": "The Dniester oil pollution was caused by a Russian strike on the Novodnistrovsk hydropower plant.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-2n13) holds a single origin, Moldovan government statements reported by the Kyiv Independent, linking the Dniester oil to a Russian strike on the Novodnistrovsk plant; no second independent origin shows the cause. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rq34",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rq34",
  "proposition": "Ukraine attempted to assassinate Putin with drones on the Kremlin on 3 May 2023.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-05-03) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-yksf records the Kremlin's accusation, Ukraine's denial and the US secretary of state's statement that he could not validate the claims; the record holds no independent attribution of the drones."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rt3w",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "xx-iaea",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rt3w",
  "proposition": "The IAEA does not currently have access to key Iranian nuclear sites.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "The IAEA has had no access to key Iranian nuclear facilities since June 2025.",
    "to": "The IAEA does not currently have access to key Iranian nuclear sites.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "Reuters reporting with diplomats in ev-20261027-q08g says Iran has not let inspectors return to bombed sites or verify its enriched uranium, and AFP reporting on the board resolution in ev-20261027-2eye records that the agency has had no access to key Iranian sites, both carried by The Times of Israel. Events: ev-20261027-q08g, ev-20261027-2eye."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-allies-want-iaea-board-to-report-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
    "origin": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/un-nuclear-watchdog-board-refers-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
    "origin": "Two diplomats speaking to AFP, and the resolution text seen by AFP",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-09-09T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-rwm9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-rwm9",
  "proposition": "Votes held under occupation in September 2022 were not a genuine expression of the popular will.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s09f",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s09f",
  "proposition": "Iran will stop striking neighbouring states unless attacks on Iran are launched from them.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s0b9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s0b9",
  "proposition": "Saudi Arabia requested the postponement of the Iran-Gulf Hormuz meeting.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-14",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-14",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-k0wm records Oman's foreign minister saying the Hormuz meeting was postponed in the interests of consensus, without saying who asked; only Iran says Saudi Arabia requested it, and Riyadh did not comment. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s1mz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s1mz",
  "proposition": "The IRGC can sustain drone and missile attacks for up to six months.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s1te",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s1te",
  "proposition": "US strikes destroyed every military target on Kharg Island while leaving oil facilities intact.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-13",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-13",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-e9gp records the Kharg strikes only through Trump, CENTCOM and Fars accounts; Fars said oil infrastructure was not damaged, but nothing independent shows that every military target was destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s2ay",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s2ay",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's armed forces were not involved in the May 2023 raid into Belgorod oblast.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-05-23) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-2xmh records the Freedom of Russia Legion and Russian Volunteer Corps claims, Russia's accusation and Maliar's denial, all as party statements; the record has no independent evidence on any Ukrainian armed forces role."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s44x",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s44x",
  "proposition": "Two oil tankers struck Iranian naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz on 17 October 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-16",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-16",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no independent report of two tankers hitting mines on 17 October; ev-20261027-z2e5 notes a series of similar IRGC mine claims that were not substantiated, and JMIC found no evidence a mine sank the GFS Pride (ev-20261027-2fph). Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-17 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s6dh",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s6dh",
  "proposition": "The US has destroyed 158 Iranian naval vessels.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-13",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-13",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US and CENTCOM figures for Iranian vessels destroyed (for example ev-20261027-8jyx) but no independent count. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-13 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-s6zq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-s6zq",
  "proposition": "Iran may require permits for undersea cables crossing Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-sa03",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-sa03",
  "proposition": "The Snake Island garrison survived the 24 February attack and was taken prisoner by Russia.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-se3k",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-se3k",
  "proposition": "US cameras watch all three sites where Iran's enriched uranium is held.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-04",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-04",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Nothing in the record describes US cameras at Iranian uranium sites; IAEA reporting in the record says inspectors had not returned to the bombed sites (ev-20261027-q08g), which neither confirms nor rules out US surveillance. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-04 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-snm6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-snm6",
  "proposition": "Control of the strait is worth more to Iran than nuclear weapons.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-sw5w",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-sw5w",
  "proposition": "The US will impose secondary tariffs on Russia's trading partners if Russia does not agree a ceasefire by 8 August 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-sx8b",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-sx8b",
  "proposition": "Russia will carry out massive strikes on Ukrainian energy facilities.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-sy2v",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-sy2v",
  "proposition": "A crude oil supertanker struck an Iranian naval mine in the Strait of Hormuz on 10 October 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-09",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-09",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-7gvf records a supertanker, the Gem No.2, ablaze in the Gulf on 9 to 10 October, which maritime agencies cited by The National linked to a suspected drone attack; nothing independent shows any tanker struck a mine that day. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-10 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t0hq",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t0hq",
  "proposition": "The US will accept no negotiated deal with Iran short of unconditional surrender.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t0t7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t0t7",
  "proposition": "Restoring Ukraine's pre-2014 borders is not a realistic objective.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t0zj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t0zj",
  "proposition": "Russia requires Ukraine to withdraw its forces from the part of the Donbas it still holds as a condition for a deal.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t1cz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t1cz",
  "proposition": "Russian forces suffered 248,964 dead and severely wounded in Ukraine between January and August 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "merged",
    "reason": "The same figure from the same speaker on the same day as cl-20261027-rjey, which is kept."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "merged",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "merged_into": "cl-20261027-rjey"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t1kg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t1kg",
  "proposition": "Iran has agreed to most of the US 15-point plan.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-29",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-29",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Iran received the 15-point plan, called it maximalist and later sent counter-demands (ev-20261027-ee7n, ev-20261027-rb6n), all through the parties' own statements; nothing independent shows what Iran agreed to. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t2sr",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t2sr",
  "proposition": "The nuclear programme is not part of the current stage of talks.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t3fv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t3fv",
  "proposition": "Western states were directly involved in attempts to attack Russian strategic air bases.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-02-21) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-j856 records Putin's accusation and ev-20261027-j931 Russia's account of the December 2022 drone attacks on Engels and Dyagilevo, but the record holds no evidence on any Western role in those attacks."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t5tv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t5tv",
  "proposition": "Iran has allowed ships from several countries through the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-22",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-22",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Pakistan's foreign minister saying Iran agreed to let Pakistani ships through and Lloyd's List counting transits on IRGC-approved routes (ev-20261027-dnkq, ev-20261027-a94a), but only through Al Jazeera and not by 22 March from a source tied to no party. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-22 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t607",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t607",
  "proposition": "Russia will continue military operations until Ukraine accepts its conditions.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t7hn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t7hn",
  "proposition": "Iran holds uranium enriched to 60 percent.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "reason": "Reuters reporting with diplomats in ev-20261027-q08g says the IAEA believes well over 200 kg of highly enriched uranium survived at Isfahan and Natanz, the IAEA board record in ev-20261027-2jna gives its estimate of 440 kg of 60 percent uranium, and two senior Iranian sources told Reuters in ev-20261027-cpwx that the supreme leader ordered it kept in Iran. Events: ev-20261027-q08g, ev-20261027-2jna, ev-20261027-cpwx."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-times-of-israel",
    "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-allies-want-iaea-board-to-report-iran-to-un-security-council-diplomats-say/",
    "origin": "Diplomats speaking to Reuters",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-09-04T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/11/un-watchdog-demands-iran-provide-information-on-nuclear-stockpile",
    "origin": "IAEA board vote; Iranian envoy statement",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-06-11T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.khaleej-times",
    "url": "https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/khamenei-highly-enriched-uranium-stay-iran",
    "origin": "Reuters, citing two senior Iranian sources",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2026-05-21T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-t8y2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-t8y2",
  "proposition": "A deal with Iran will be made right after the November midterm election.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-taf4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-taf4",
  "proposition": "Kazakhstan is willing to host Iran's highly enriched uranium.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tbdf",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tbdf",
  "proposition": "Iran's president asked the United States for a ceasefire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-01",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-01",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Trump's statement, Iran's denial and a Fars source saying Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal (ev-20261027-efpv); no independent source shows Pezeshkian asked for a ceasefire. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tc8q",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "xx-nato",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tc8q",
  "proposition": "Russia was responsible for the drone that struck Galati.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-29",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-29",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-rvw1) holds only the statements of Romania's president and NATO's secretary general; no independent evidence on the origin of the Galati drone is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tks0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "kz-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tks0",
  "proposition": "The 29 November strike on the CPC terminal suspended loading of mainly Kazakh oil.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "The proposition goes beyond the statement: Kazakhstan's statement protested the strike and did not say loading was suspended. As made, it is the party's own act (a protest), not a claim."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "The proposition goes beyond the statement: Kazakhstan's statement protested the strike and did not say loading was suspended. As made, it is the party's own act (a protest), not a claim."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tkv4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tkv4",
  "proposition": "No US-Iran meeting at any level was planned in Doha in the days after 29 June.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tmzv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tmzv",
  "proposition": "Ali Khamenei was killed in the strikes.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tnav",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tnav",
  "proposition": "About 50% of damaged South Pars capacity has been restored.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on South Pars repairs or output; the 50 percent figure rests only on Iran's deputy oil minister. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tpzg",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tpzg",
  "proposition": "Iran has not yet used missiles produced after June 2025.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tq9c",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tq9c",
  "proposition": "The US will attack Oman if it obstructs US aims over the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tqex",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tqex",
  "proposition": "Ukraine lost the Trypilska power plant on 11 April 2024 because it had no air defence missiles left to defend it.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-04-16) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-byag records the destruction of the Trypilska plant on Centrenergo's word and President Zelensky's explanation. The record holds no independent evidence on Ukraine's air defence stocks or why the plant was not defended."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ttyd",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ttyd",
  "proposition": "Iran would launch offensive operations against neighbouring states if attacked again.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ty5r",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ty5r",
  "proposition": "The US repeatedly breached the June memorandum of understanding.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-tzw2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-wagner",
  "statement": "st-20261027-tzw2",
  "proposition": "Russian army leadership decisions caused Wagner losses five times higher than necessary at Bakhmut.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-v0k1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-v0k1",
  "proposition": "The Iran war will end immediately after the 3 November 2026 US midterm elections.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-v2mp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-v2mp",
  "proposition": "The Black Sea Initiative carried over 32 million tonnes of food commodities from Ukrainian ports.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-07-17) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-b85n records the 32 million tonne figure only as UN Secretary-General Guterres's own statement. The record holds no separate count of the tonnage shipped under the initiative."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-v62k",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-v62k",
  "proposition": "Ukraine, with EU support, can win back all of its territory in its original form.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-v7f7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "cn-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-v7f7",
  "proposition": "Chinese entities did not supply Iran with satellite imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base linked to the 17 July strike.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-14",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "proposition",
    "from": "Chinese entities supplied Iran with satellite imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base linked to the 17 July strike.",
    "to": "Chinese entities did not supply Iran with satellite imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base linked to the 17 July strike.",
    "reason": "The proposition misstated the statement; corrected to what the speaker said."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-14",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on the Wall Street Journal report or any independent evidence on whether Chinese entities supplied imagery of Muwaffaq Salti Air Base to Iran. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-14 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-v7fc",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-v7fc",
  "proposition": "The blockade is filling Kharg Island storage and could force Iranian output cuts costing about 170 million dollars a day.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-28",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-28",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent data on Kharg Island storage levels or Iranian output in late April 2026. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-28 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-v9bp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-v9bp",
  "proposition": "The US will retaliate many times over for each US soldier killed by Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vb64",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "qa-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vb64",
  "proposition": "The US told Qatar about 30 minutes before the 28 February strikes began.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-29",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-29",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record has no event on when Qatar was told of the 28 February strikes; the claim rests only on the Qatari prime minister. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-29 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vedw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-wagner",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vedw",
  "proposition": "North Korea did not deliver weapons to the Wagner Group in 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-12-22) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-a6z3 records only the US government's statements that North Korea supplied Russia and later Wagner, and North Korea's denial; the record has no independent evidence on deliveries to Wagner."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vex4",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ae-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vex4",
  "proposition": "The Strait of Hormuz is not open to free navigation despite the ceasefire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "supported",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "supported",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1,
     2
    ],
    "reason": "Kpler data analysed by AP and Lloyd's List Intelligence figures in ev-20261027-jwaw and ev-20261027-vzq4 show only five to seven ships a day crossing after the ceasefire against about 120 to 140 before the war, more than 600 vessels still stranded, and an LNG tanker turning back from an IRGC-ordered route. Events: ev-20261027-jwaw, ev-20261027-vzq4."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.al-jazeera",
    "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/4/10/shipping-in-strait-of-hormuz-at-a-trickle-despite-us-iran-ceasefire",
    "origin": "Kpler ship-tracking data; Lloyd's List Intelligence; ADNOC CEO post",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.nbc-washington",
    "url": "https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/national-international/live-updates-iran-war-us-israel-middle-east-april-9/4088222/",
    "origin": "Kpler ship-tracking data analysed by AP",
    "role": "corroboration",
    "published_at": "2026-04-09T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.nbc-washington",
    "url": "https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/national-international/live-updates-iran-war-us-israel-middle-east-april-9/4088222/",
    "origin": "Kpler ship-tracking data analysed by AP; Trump Truth Social posts",
    "role": "evidence",
    "published_at": "2026-04-09T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vfa0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vfa0",
  "proposition": "The Mariupol maternity hospital was occupied by Ukrainian fighters and empty of patients when it was struck on 9 March 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-03-10) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-t7n6, AP journalists at the scene, carried by NPR and Al Jazeera, documented wounded pregnant women being carried out of the hospital, which runs against the claim, but that is one origin; a WHO record of a 9 March Mariupol attack affecting patients (ev-20261028-xfcn) does not name the facility, so the record does not yet meet the two-origin rule."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vg64",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "dk-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vg64",
  "proposition": "The drones over Copenhagen airport on 22 September 2025 were part of a coordinated campaign possibly linked to Russia.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vm3f",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vm3f",
  "proposition": "Trump had been an hour away from ordering an attack on Iran when he postponed it.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vmgj",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vmgj",
  "proposition": "Iran will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed until its conditions are met.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vpnx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vpnx",
  "proposition": "Saudi Arabia suspended US use of its bases and airspace for the Hormuz operation.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-07",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-07",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no event on Saudi Arabia suspending US use of its bases or airspace in May; the claim rests on officials quoted by NBC News. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-07 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vrz3",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vrz3",
  "proposition": "All vessels except those of states at war with Iran may pass the Strait of Hormuz.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vv54",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vv54",
  "proposition": "Iran's ability to attack ships in Hormuz has been degraded.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-21",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-21",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds CENTCOM's account but no independent measure of Iran's anti-ship capability after 21 March; attacks on ships continued in later weeks (ev-20261027-eqm1, ev-20261027-52ac). Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-21 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vvet",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "xx-nato",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vvet",
  "proposition": "Some European allies plan to deploy troops to Ukraine after a peace deal, with a US backstop.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vvyx",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vvyx",
  "proposition": "China, Russia and France have contacted Iran about a ceasefire.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-09",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-09",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no Chinese, Russian or French statement, or independent report, on contacting Iran about a ceasefire around 9 March 2026. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-09 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-vx87",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-vx87",
  "proposition": "Ukrainian special services organised the 20 August 2022 car bombing that killed Darya Dugina.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-08-22) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kfsw holds the FSB's accusation, Ukraine's denial and a New York Times report that US intelligence believed parts of the Ukrainian government authorised the attack; that report is a single origin and does not settle who organised the bombing."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-w3kk",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-w3kk",
  "proposition": "Iran will not transfer its enriched uranium out of the country.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-w718",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-w718",
  "proposition": "The United States is open to direct talks with Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-w9fy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-w9fy",
  "proposition": "Iran will strike Israeli infrastructure and US regional energy facilities if its energy sites are attacked.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wa2m",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ye-ansar-allah",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wa2m",
  "proposition": "No fees are being charged on ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-01",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-01",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no report of fees being charged, or not charged, on ships in Bab el-Mandeb around 1 August. Next check on the ladder from 2026-08-01 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-way8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-way8",
  "proposition": "Iran will block trade in the Gulf, Sea of Oman and Red Sea if the blockade continues.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wctw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wctw",
  "proposition": "Ukraine paused drone flights over Moscow at US request during the CIA director's 25 August visit.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wd7r",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wd7r",
  "proposition": "Iran is not seeking nuclear weapons.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-weqw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-weqw",
  "proposition": "The Crocus City Hall attackers received money and cryptocurrency from Ukraine.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-03-28) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-9s3t records the Investigative Committee statement, the Moscow Times's note that no concrete evidence was presented, and US official John Kirby's rejection. No independent evidence in the record shows the source of the attackers' funds."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wf1s",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wf1s",
  "proposition": "Iran was responsible for the drone attack on the Saudi East-West pipeline.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wr8x",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wr8x",
  "proposition": "Iran will stop all regional oil and gas exports if its own exports stay blockaded.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wrds",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wrds",
  "proposition": "China pledged not to supply military equipment to Iran.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-15",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-15",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds only the White House statement and Trump's remarks on the Beijing summit (ev-20261027-4vh5); no Chinese government statement or independent reporting on a pledge about military supplies to Iran is in the record. Next check on the ladder from 2026-05-15 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wv62",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wv62",
  "proposition": "No negotiations have been held between Iran and the US.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-23",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-23",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-ahwc and ev-20261027-jvq1 record Ghalibaf's denial alongside Iran's own confirmation that US messages arrived through intermediaries; whether that exchange counts as negotiations is not settled by any independent source. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-23 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wvm0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wvm0",
  "proposition": "Netanyahu urged Trump to tighten the economic siege on Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wvyd",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "cn-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wvyd",
  "proposition": "China will act to protect its interests against US secondary sanctions over Iran.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ww1r",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-irgc",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ww1r",
  "proposition": "Iranian missiles struck an Israeli naval base in Haifa on 11 March.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-11",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-11",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record shows Iranian missiles fired at Israel on 11 March alongside a Hezbollah barrage (ev-20261027-vyq6), but no source reports a hit on a naval base in Haifa. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-11 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wwbd",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wwbd",
  "proposition": "Ukraine played no part in the 3 May drone incident at the Kremlin.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-05-03) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-yksf records Zelenskyy's denial and the Kremlin's accusation, with no independent attribution of the 3 May drones in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wwnw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wwnw",
  "proposition": "At least 1,348 civilians have been killed in Iran since 28 February.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's count of its own side's dead or damage, which is a toll observation, not a scored claim. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-wybe",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-wybe",
  "proposition": "Russian forces did not carry out the 8 April 2022 missile strike on Kramatorsk station.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "contradicted",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "contradicted",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "In ev-20261027-3net, Human Rights Watch and SITU Research weapon and video analysis attributed the Tochka-U cluster missile strike on Kramatorsk station to Russian forces and found no evidence for Russia's denial, and separate Bellingcat open-source analysis rebutted a central part of Russia's defence. Events: ev-20261027-3net."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.human-rights-watch",
    "url": "https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/02/21/ukraine-new-light-russias-rail-station-attack",
    "origin": "Human Rights Watch and SITU Research weapon and video analysis",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2023-02-21T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.bellingcat",
    "url": "https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2022/04/14/russias-kramatorsk-facts-versus-the-evidence/",
    "origin": "Bellingcat open-source analysis, 14 Apr 2022",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2022-04-14T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en",
    "excerpt": "it does appear to debunk a central argument by the Russian state in its defence"
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-x3ba",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-x3ba",
  "proposition": "Iran's 28 mine-laying boats have been sunk.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-11",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-11",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds US accounts of strikes on Iranian minelaying vessels (ev-20261027-w2eb) but no independent count of Iran's minelaying boats or how many were sunk. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-11 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-x4ce",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-x4ce",
  "proposition": "Ukraine faced an acute shortage of air defence interceptors in April 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an admission against the speaker's own interest, which belongs in the event record, not the scored ledger. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-x6k8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-x6k8",
  "proposition": "Ukraine and Western states wanted the Wagner mutiny to set Russian soldiers against each other.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xa3a",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xa3a",
  "proposition": "The bombing of Iran will continue throughout the week or as long as necessary.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xc01",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xc01",
  "proposition": "Ukraine organised the killing of General Kirillov.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-e7rb records Russia's Investigative Committee account and anonymous SBU sources telling CNN the service was behind the attack, with no official Ukrainian claim. Both origins are tied to the parties, and the record holds no independent evidence of who organised the killing."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xek1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xek1",
  "proposition": "Pokrovsk was not encircled at the end of October 2025.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-10-31",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-10-31",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record (ev-20261027-c8vw) holds only the competing statements of Vladimir Putin and Oleksandr Syrskyi, relayed by the Kyiv Independent; no independent source shows whether Pokrovsk was encircled at the end of October 2025. Next check on the ladder from 2025-10-31 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xj9n",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xj9n",
  "proposition": "Russian and allied forces controlled the whole of Luhansk oblast on 3 July 2022.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-07-03) with nothing in the record to settle it. In ev-20261027-rk9n, Ukraine's military confirmed it withdrew from Lysychansk, which bears on the city, but the record has no independent evidence on whether all of Luhansk oblast was under Russian control on 3 July 2022."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xjh8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "un",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xjh8",
  "proposition": "Russian forces killed two evacuees in an FPV drone strike on a marked NGO evacuation vehicle in Donetsk Oblast.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-20",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-20",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no event on the drone strike on the Proliska evacuation van in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, so it neither confirms nor contradicts the claim. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xjjt",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xjjt",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's army lost about 1,000,000 dead and wounded between February 2022 and December 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-12-18) with nothing in the record to settle it. The record holds no independent count of Ukrainian military killed and wounded to December 2024 that matches the scope of Valery Gerasimov's figure."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:36:06Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xjjz",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xjjz",
  "proposition": "The US-Iran memorandum contained no concession amounting to capitulation.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xk9v",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-artesh",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xk9v",
  "proposition": "Iranian strikes hit more than 170 enemy aircraft during the first six weeks of the war.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2027-01-28",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2027-01-28",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. This is Iran's figure for the other side's losses; the record holds no independent count of aircraft hit. Next check on the ladder from 2026-04-28 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xnsm",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xnsm",
  "proposition": "Russia was prepared to use nuclear weapons over Ukraine.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xt68",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xt68",
  "proposition": "Russia could strike the International Criminal Court in The Hague with a missile.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xtag",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xtag",
  "proposition": "The US has struck more than 5,000 targets and destroyed 80 to 90 percent of Iran's missile launchers.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-09",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-09",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. Both figures rest on Donald Trump's word; the record holds no independent count of targets struck or of Iranian missile launchers destroyed. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-09 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xxeb",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "lb-hezbollah",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xxeb",
  "proposition": "US sanctions will not change Hezbollah's conduct toward Israel.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xxx9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xxx9",
  "proposition": "The US paused strikes on Iran to make room for diplomacy.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-xyd5",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-xyd5",
  "proposition": "Iran does not target civilians.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-18",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-18",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds many Iranian strikes that harmed civilians in Israel and the Gulf, but whether Iran aimed at civilians is a question of intent the record does not settle. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-18 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-y46g",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-y46g",
  "proposition": "US operations against Iran will end within weeks.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-y74v",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-y74v",
  "proposition": "Iran will keep control of the Strait of Hormuz while US hostilities continue.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-y9h8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-y9h8",
  "proposition": "A US strike hit a wedding gathering in Sirik County on 1 September.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-02",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-02",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. ev-20261027-8024 records the Iranian Red Crescent and Iranian media saying a US strike hit a wedding in Sirik County and CENTCOM saying it never targets civilians; the figures and the account were not independently verified. Next check on the ladder from 2026-09-02 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-y9yw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-y9yw",
  "proposition": "Iran agreed at Burgenstock to readmit IAEA inspectors.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-22",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-22",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record carries Vance's statement and a Maritime Executive line that Iran was reportedly agreeing to readmit inspectors (ev-20261027-8gtn, ev-20261027-ztpb), but the mediators' joint statement did not mention it and later reporting says inspectors did not return to the bombed sites (ev-20261027-q08g). Whether Iran agreed at Burgenstock is not shown. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-22 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yb7k",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "bg-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yb7k",
  "proposition": "Bulgaria stopped free arms deliveries to Ukraine in June 2026.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ycht",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "il-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ycht",
  "proposition": "Israel will prevent displaced Lebanese from returning to their homes until northern Israel is safe.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yekv",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yekv",
  "proposition": "Iran has very little firepower left.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yep9",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yep9",
  "proposition": "Russia is ready to negotiate with the US on the war in Ukraine.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ygz8",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ygz8",
  "proposition": "The US set an initial timeline of four to six weeks for the war.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): the party's own act or decision, or a description of the statement itself, which the statement and event records hold. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yqz2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-mod",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yqz2",
  "proposition": "Russian soldiers' mobile phone use allowed Ukraine to locate the Makiivka quarters.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2023-01-04) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-8a2w carries the mobile phone explanation only as Russia's defence ministry statement; the record has no independent evidence of how the Makiivka quarters were located."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yrtn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yrtn",
  "proposition": "The core strategic objectives of the US operation against Iran are nearing completion.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-ytq2",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-military",
  "statement": "st-20261027-ytq2",
  "proposition": "Commercial traffic continued to flow through the Strait of Hormuz on 20 June despite Iran's closure declaration.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-20",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-20",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds Reuters reporting with Kpler data that traffic was weaker on 21 June and that two crude tankers crossed on 22 June (ev-20261027-8732), but no independent count for 20 June itself. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yypp",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "lb-hezbollah",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yypp",
  "proposition": "Hezbollah will not accept the framework agreement or its disarmament pilot zones.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a position, demand or legal or political characterisation, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-yzg7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-yzg7",
  "proposition": "About 16 million barrels of crude moved through the Strait of Hormuz in the 24 hours before 20 June, roughly the pre-war level.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-20",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-20",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. No independent figure for crude moved through Hormuz in the 24 hours before 20 June is in the record; Reuters and Kpler data in ev-20261027-8732 cover 21 and 22 June and show weak traffic against a pre-war average of 125 crossings a day. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-20 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-z0f7",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-z0f7",
  "proposition": "Further prisoner exchanges were expected after the Miami talks.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-z0zs",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-z0zs",
  "proposition": "Iran, the United States and Lebanon agreed to form a committee to oversee the end of the war in Lebanon.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-30",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-30",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The only record of a Lebanon mechanism is the Qatar-Pakistan joint statement after Burgenstock describing a de-confliction cell involving Lebanon (The National, ev-20261027-ztpb), a single origin that does not describe a committee of Iran, the US and Lebanon. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-30 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-z4vn",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-z4vn",
  "proposition": "Russia timed its 16 June missile attack on Kyiv to the African peace mission's visit.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): an opinion or assessment, not a checkable statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-z979",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-z979",
  "proposition": "The US agreed to release $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-12",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-12",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The $24 billion figure appears in the record only as an Iranian Mehr report on the deal terms (ev-20261027-8yfe); Qatar later said $6 billion in frozen funds had not been transferred (ev-20261027-6nmn). No independent source shows a US agreement to release $24 billion. Next check on the ladder from 2026-06-12 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zcdw",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zcdw",
  "proposition": "The United States accepted some of Iran's seven conditions for reopening the strait.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-10",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "checkable",
    "from": false,
    "to": true,
    "reason": "Under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 this is a checkable statement of fact (a denial or a specific assertion about an event)."
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-11-10",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds the exchange of proposals through Qatar in late September and early October (ev-20261027-2vm8, ev-20261027-9r20) but nothing independent on what the US response accepted. Next check on the ladder from 2026-10-11 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zg0r",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "us-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zg0r",
  "proposition": "Iranian missile launches had fallen about 90 percent from the first day of the war by 10 March.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-12-10",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "next_check",
    "from": "2026-11-03",
    "to": "2026-12-10",
    "reason": "Checked in the one-time pass of 30 Oct 2026: still open. The record holds no independent tally of Iranian missile launches by day, so the 90 percent fall rests on the Pentagon briefing alone. Next check on the ladder from 2026-03-10 (7 days, 30 days, then quarterly)."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zhr6",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ru-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zhr6",
  "proposition": "A conventional Ukrainian attack with US missiles could trigger a Russian nuclear response under the revised doctrine.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zq8v",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zq8v",
  "proposition": "The missile that killed two people in Przewodow on 15 November 2022 was Russian.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "contradicted",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "contradicted",
    "rule": "independent_origins",
    "citations": [
     0,
     1
    ],
    "reason": "In ev-20261027-70hv, Polish and US government statements, reported by The War Zone, and the Polish presidential office, reported by the Kyiv Post, said the Przewodow missile was most likely a Ukrainian air defence interceptor that failed to self-destruct, not a Russian missile. Events: ev-20261027-70hv."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "citations": [
   {
    "source": "src.the-war-zone",
    "url": "https://www.twz.com/missile-hits-poland-after-crossing-ukraine-border-reports",
    "origin": "Polish foreign ministry and US presidential statements",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2022-11-15T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en"
   },
   {
    "source": "src.kyiv-post",
    "url": "https://www.kyivpost.com/russias-war/zelensky-still-has-doubts-about-missile-that-hit-poland.html",
    "origin": "Polish presidential office statement and Zelenskyy remarks",
    "role": "contradiction",
    "published_at": "2022-11-17T00:00:00Z",
    "accessed_at": "2026-10-27T12:00:00Z",
    "language": "en",
    "excerpt": "The self-destruct system did not work, and this missile led to a tragedy."
   }
  ]
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zrt1",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zrt1",
  "proposition": "Ukraine's special services had no role in the killing of Darya Dugina.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2022-08-22) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-kfsw holds Ukraine's denial alongside a New York Times report that US intelligence believed parts of the Ukrainian government authorised the attack; that is one origin and the record does not settle Ukraine's role either way."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zwyy",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "russia-ukraine",
  "claimant": "ua-general-staff",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zwyy",
  "proposition": "Russia fired an intercontinental ballistic missile at Dnipro on 21 November 2024.",
  "checkable": true,
  "verdict": "unresolvable",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "verdict",
    "from": "open",
    "to": "unresolvable",
    "rule": "twelve_months",
    "reason": "Open 12 months after it was said (2024-11-21) with nothing in the record to settle it. ev-20261027-x4k9 records the Ukrainian Air Force's description of an intercontinental ballistic missile; unnamed US officials, reported by ABC News Australia, said it was an intermediate-range missile, not an ICBM. That single independent origin does not meet the standard to settle the claim."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "active",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z"
 },
 {
  "id": "cl-20261027-zxy0",
  "type": "claim",
  "conflict": "us-israel-iran",
  "claimant": "ir-government",
  "statement": "st-20261027-zxy0",
  "proposition": "Iran will treat countries that join US sanctions as enemies.",
  "checkable": false,
  "verdict": "open",
  "next_check": "2026-11-03",
  "revision": 2,
  "history": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
    "batch": "claims-rescope-2026-10-30",
    "field": "record_state",
    "from": "active",
    "to": "withdrawn",
    "reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
   }
  ],
  "record_state": "withdrawn",
  "schema_version": 1,
  "created_at": "2026-10-27T21:03:25Z",
  "last_changed": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "withdrawn_reason": "Not a claim under the claim standard of 30 Oct 2026 (data-src/p1/DRAFTS.md): a threat, intention, promise or forecast, not a statement of fact. The statement stays in the record."
 }
]