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The US-Israel-Iran war

The claims ledger.

When a party to the war states a fact that evidence can later settle, such as a target hit, losses inflicted on the other side or a denial of responsibility, it goes in this ledger. Each claim is checked against the record at 7 days, 30 days and then quarterly, and given a verdict. Over time each party's track record shows how often its word held up, with the count it rests on. Positions, threats and intentions are recorded as statements and not scored. A claim still open after 12 months becomes unresolvable.

How often claims held up.

Resolved claims only. The denominator is always shown.

Government of Iran5 resolved · 35 open · 0 unresolvable

With [object Object], [object Object], [object Object]

1 supported2 partly2 contradicted
Government of the United Arab Emirates1 resolved · 2 open · 0 unresolvable

With [object Object]

1 supported0 partly0 contradicted
Government of the United States3 resolved · 43 open · 0 unresolvable

With [object Object], [object Object]

1 supported1 partly1 contradicted
International Atomic Energy Agency (Board of Governors and Director General)1 resolved · 1 open · 0 unresolvable

With [object Object]

1 supported0 partly0 contradicted
United Nations1 resolved · 1 open · 0 unresolvable

With [object Object]

0 supported1 partly0 contradicted

No verdicts yet: Ansar Allah (the Houthis) (1 open), Government of China (1 open), Government of Israel (5 open), Government of Qatar (1 open), Government of Saudi Arabia (1 open), Government of Yemen (internationally recognised, Presidential Leadership Council) (1 open), Hezbollah (1 open).

Solid: supported. Grey: partly supported. Dashed outline: contradicted. Each bar covers one party's resolved claims and is the same length for every party, so parties are compared by share, not by how much they say. Parties are listed alphabetically.

Every claim, by party.

Newest first within each party.

Ansar Allah (the Houthis) 1

Government of China 1

Government of Iran 30

Government of Israel 2

Government of Qatar 1

Government of Saudi Arabia 1

Government of the United Arab Emirates 3

Government of the United States 39

Government of Yemen (internationally recognised, Presidential Leadership Council) 1

Hezbollah 1

International Atomic Energy Agency (Board of Governors and Director General) 2

Islamic Republic of Iran Army 2

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps 8

Israel Defense Forces 3

United Nations 2

United States Armed Forces 7